Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez preview
Cobán Imperial faces Suchitepéquez with a 74% probability of winning according to our model, compared to Suchitepéquez's 10%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Cobán Imperial's expected goals of 2.77 against Suchitepéquez's 0.98. The high probability of Over 2.5 goals at 72% suggests a potential for a high-scoring match.
However, Suchitepéquez could disrupt this forecast. Their recent form shows 4 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 matches, indicating they may struggle to score. Additionally, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. If Suchitepéquez performs better than expected, it could impact both teams to score, currently at 59%.
Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez: model vs market
| Source | Cobán Imperial | Draw | Suchitepéquez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.77 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Cobán Imperial and Suchitepéquez expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.75
- Attack rating (Cobán Imperial / Suchitepéquez)
- 1.08 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Cobán Imperial / Suchitepéquez)
- 1.21 / 1.57
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cobán Imperial goals. Columns: Suchitepéquez goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobán Imperial | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.28 | |
| Suchitepéquez | 10% | 9.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| No | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cobán Imperial or draw) | 90% | 1.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or Suchitepéquez) | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cobán Imperial win by 2+ | 54% | 1.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Cobán Imperial and Suchitepéquez recent form
Cobán Imperial
3W 1D 2L
Suchitepéquez
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cobán Imperial at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
Suchitepéquez away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-8
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.62
- Goals against / match
- 2.62
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 8
- They have won 1 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cobán Imperial at home only, Suchitepéquez away only.
Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Cobán Imperial 5 · draws 1 · Suchitepéquez 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Suchitepéquez | 3-2 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2018-04-29 | Suchitepéquez | 1-0 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| 2018-03-04 | Cobán Imperial | 4-2 | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-10-22 | Cobán Imperial | 2-1 | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-08-20 | Suchitepéquez | 2-2 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-04-23 | Suchitepéquez | 2-1 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-02-19 | Cobán Imperial | 3-0 | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| 2016-10-23 | Cobán Imperial | 5-0 | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| 2016-07-31 | Suchitepéquez | 1-2 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| 2016-03-20 | Suchitepéquez | 3-0 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 17 fixtures
- Malacateco vs Aurora — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Municipal vs Comunicaciones 2026-10-29
- Mixco vs Xelajú — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro 2026-10-30
- Marquense v Guastatoya — match page 2026-10-30
Before and after this match
- Cobán Imperial, previous: Cobán Imperial – Marquense, 2026-10-25
- Suchitepéquez, previous: Suchitepéquez vs Aurora prediction