Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro preview
Antigua GFC faces Deportivo San Pedro with a 69% chance of winning according to our model, while the most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 12%. Antigua GFC has an expected goals figure of 2.25, significantly higher than Deportivo San Pedro's 0.83.
However, recent form shows Antigua GFC with two wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Deportivo San Pedro has only one win in the same timeframe. This could impact the match outcome, as Deportivo San Pedro has historically won the last head-to-head encounter. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 60%, and both teams to score is at 51%, indicating potential for a high-scoring game.
Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro: model vs market
| Source | Antigua GFC | Draw | Deportivo San Pedro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64% | 23% | 14% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 64% | 23% | 14% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Antigua GFC and Deportivo San Pedro expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.81
- Attack rating (Antigua GFC / Deportivo San Pedro)
- 1.16 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Antigua GFC / Deportivo San Pedro)
- 1.03 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Antigua GFC goals. Columns: Deportivo San Pedro goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua GFC | 64% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.41 | |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 14% | 7.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| No | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Antigua GFC or draw) | 86% | 1.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportivo San Pedro) | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Handicap -1 | Antigua GFC win by 2+ | 40% | 2.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Antigua GFC and Deportivo San Pedro recent form
Antigua GFC
2W 2D 2L
Deportivo San Pedro
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Antigua GFC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-1-0
- Win rate
- 88%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 8
- They have won 9 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Deportivo San Pedro away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 8
- They have won 6 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Antigua GFC at home only, Deportivo San Pedro away only.
Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Antigua GFC 0 · draws 0 · Deportivo San Pedro 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deportivo San Pedro | 4-3 | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 17 fixtures
- Cobán Imperial v Suchitepéquez — match page 2026-10-28
- Malacateco vs Aurora — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Municipal vs Comunicaciones 2026-10-29
- Mixco vs Xelajú — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Marquense v Guastatoya — match page 2026-10-30
Before and after this match
- Antigua GFC, previous: Comunicaciones v Antigua GFC analysis
- Deportivo San Pedro, previous: Deportivo San Pedro – Malacateco, 2026-10-25