Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal preview
Deportivo San Pedro faces Municipal with a 43% probability of winning compared to Municipal's 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.20 for Deportivo San Pedro and 0.83 for Municipal. Both teams to score has a 41% likelihood, while Over 2.5 goals is at 33%.
Deportivo San Pedro's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Municipal has not won in their last 6, with 4 draws. The head-to-head record indicates no wins for either side in their last encounter, ending in a draw. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal: model vs market
| Source | Deportivo San Pedro | Draw | Municipal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 32% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 32% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Deportivo San Pedro and Municipal expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.03
- Attack rating (Deportivo San Pedro / Municipal)
- 0.99 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Deportivo San Pedro / Municipal)
- 1.11 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Deportivo San Pedro goals. Columns: Municipal goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo San Pedro | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Municipal | 24% | 4.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33% | 3.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.46 |
| No | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Deportivo San Pedro or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| X2 (draw or Municipal) | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo San Pedro win by 2+ | 20% | 5.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Deportivo San Pedro and Municipal recent form
Deportivo San Pedro
1W 2D 3L
Municipal
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Deportivo San Pedro at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.12
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 8
- They have won 6 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
Municipal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-3
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 0.88
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 8
- They have won 7 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 16 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo San Pedro at home only, Municipal away only.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Deportivo San Pedro 0 · draws 1 · Municipal 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Municipal | 0-0 | Deportivo San Pedro | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 18 fixtures
- Aurora vs Antigua GFC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial 2026-11-01
- Comunicaciones vs Mixco — team news & stats 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Deportivo San Pedro, previous: Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro prediction
- Municipal, previous: Municipal vs Comunicaciones: odds and pick