Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro preview
In the upcoming match between Mixco and Deportivo San Pedro, the 1X2 probabilities show Mixco at 69%, with a predicted scoreline of 2-0 (12%). Mixco's expected goals stand at 2.17, while Deportivo San Pedro's is significantly lower at 0.77. This suggests a strong advantage for Mixco.
However, Deportivo San Pedro has a recent head-to-head win against Mixco and could disrupt expectations. Their recent form includes a win, which may boost their confidence. The model indicates a 56% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance for both teams to score, meaning there’s potential for surprises in this match.
Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro: model vs market
| Source | Mixco | Draw | Deportivo San Pedro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.86.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Mixco and Deportivo San Pedro expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.80
- Attack rating (Mixco / Deportivo San Pedro)
- 1.18 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Mixco / Deportivo San Pedro)
- 1.14 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mixco goals. Columns: Deportivo San Pedro goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 | |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 15% | 6.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.98 |
| No | 49% | 2.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mixco or draw) | 85% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportivo San Pedro) | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mixco win by 2+ | 38% | 2.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Mixco and Deportivo San Pedro recent form
Mixco
2W 3D 1L
Deportivo San Pedro
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mixco at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.89
- Goals against / match
- 0.78
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
- They have won 7 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 17 matches.
Deportivo San Pedro away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 9
- They have won 6 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 17 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mixco at home only, Deportivo San Pedro away only.
Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Mixco 0 · draws 0 · Deportivo San Pedro 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Deportivo San Pedro | 2-0 | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
- Guastatoya vs Suchitepéquez — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Municipal vs Aurora 2026-11-07
- Marquense v Comunicaciones — match page 2026-11-08
- Cobán Imperial v Xelajú — match page 2026-11-08
- Antigua GFC vs Malacateco 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Mixco, previous: Comunicaciones – Mixco, 2026-11-02
- Deportivo San Pedro, previous: Deportivo San Pedro – Municipal, 2026-11-01