Marquense vs Comunicaciones preview
In the match between Marquense and Comunicaciones, the 1X2 probabilities show Marquense at 59%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 14%. Marquense has a stronger expected goals figure of 1.71 compared to Comunicaciones' 0.74, indicating they may dominate the game.
However, the recent form of both teams could influence the outcome. Marquense has drawn three of their last five matches, while Comunicaciones has lost four of their last five. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 44%, suggesting that while Marquense may win, there is a chance for a more competitive match than anticipated.
Marquense vs Comunicaciones: model vs market
| Source | Marquense | Draw | Comunicaciones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.85.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Marquense and Comunicaciones expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.47
- Attack rating (Marquense / Comunicaciones)
- 0.86 / 1.12
- Defence rating (Marquense / Comunicaciones)
- 0.89 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Marquense vs Comunicaciones score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Marquense goals. Columns: Comunicaciones goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Marquense vs Comunicaciones goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Marquense vs Comunicaciones
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 54% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Comunicaciones | 19% | 5.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Marquense or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Comunicaciones) | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | Marquense win by 2+ | 30% | 3.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Marquense and Comunicaciones recent form
Marquense
2W 3D 1L
Comunicaciones
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Marquense at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-2
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.11
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 9
- They have won 7 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 17 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Comunicaciones away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-5
- Win rate
- 11%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.78
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 9
- They have won 5 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 17 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Marquense at home only, Comunicaciones away only.
Marquense vs Comunicaciones head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Marquense 5 · draws 1 · Comunicaciones 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Comunicaciones | 0-2 | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-03-30 | Marquense | 1-0 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-02-07 | Comunicaciones | 2-1 | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-10-26 | Marquense | 1-0 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-08-17 | Comunicaciones | 3-0 | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-05-05 | Comunicaciones | 2-1 | Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| 2025-05-01 | Marquense | 2-0 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2025-04-03 | Marquense | 1-2 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2025-01-30 | Comunicaciones | 1-1 | Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-09-22 | Marquense | 2-1 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
- Guastatoya vs Suchitepéquez — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Municipal vs Aurora 2026-11-07
- Cobán Imperial v Xelajú — match page 2026-11-08
- Antigua GFC vs Malacateco 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Marquense, previous: Xelajú vs Marquense: odds and pick
- Comunicaciones, previous: Comunicaciones – Mixco, 2026-11-02