Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense preview
Deportivo San Pedro faces Marquense with a 55% chance of winning compared to Marquense's 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 16% of the time according to our model. Deportivo San Pedro has an expected goals figure of 1.46, while Marquense sits at 0.65.
However, the match could see different outcomes if both teams manage to find the net, as both teams to score has a probability of 38%. Additionally, the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is only 35%. Recent form shows Deportivo San Pedro with two draws and a win in their last five matches, while Marquense has one win in their last five.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense: model vs market
| Source | Deportivo San Pedro | Draw | Marquense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.65.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Deportivo San Pedro and Marquense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.11
- Attack rating (Deportivo San Pedro / Marquense)
- 0.87 / 0.72
- Defence rating (Deportivo San Pedro / Marquense)
- 1.07 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Deportivo San Pedro goals. Columns: Marquense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo San Pedro | 55% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 | |
| Marquense | 16% | 6.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.63 |
| No | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Deportivo San Pedro or draw) | 84% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Marquense) | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo San Pedro win by 2+ | 29% | 3.44 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Deportivo San Pedro and Marquense recent form
Deportivo San Pedro
1W 2D 3L
Marquense
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Deportivo San Pedro at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-2-0
- Win rate
- 78%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.89
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 9
- They have won 7 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 18 matches.
Marquense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-5
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.44
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 9
- They have won 7 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 18 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo San Pedro at home only, Marquense away only.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Deportivo San Pedro 0 · draws 1 · Marquense 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Marquense | 0-0 | Deportivo San Pedro | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
- Aurora vs Mixco — team news & stats 2026-11-12
- Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Malacateco vs Municipal 2026-11-15
- Xelajú v Guastatoya — match page 2026-11-15
- Suchitepéquez v Antigua GFC — match page 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Deportivo San Pedro, previous: Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro: odds and pick
- Marquense, previous: Marquense v Comunicaciones analysis