Suchitepéquez vs Antigua GFC preview
In the fixture between Suchitepéquez and Antigua GFC, the 1X2 probabilities show Antigua GFC at 43%, while Suchitepéquez stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Antigua GFC's recent form of W-W-W-L-W-D contrasts with Suchitepéquez's L-W-L-D-L-D, indicating a stronger performance from the visitors.
The model suggests a 54% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 58% probability for both teams to score. Suchitepéquez has expected goals of 1.26, while Antigua GFC has 1.57. If Suchitepéquez improves their form or if Antigua GFC underperforms, the predictions could change.
Suchitepéquez vs Antigua GFC: model vs market
| Source | Suchitepéquez | Draw | Antigua GFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 27% | 43% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 29% | 27% | 43% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.26.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Suchitepéquez and Antigua GFC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.82
- Attack rating (Suchitepéquez / Antigua GFC)
- 0.94 / 1.18
- Defence rating (Suchitepéquez / Antigua GFC)
- 1.56 / 0.82
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Suchitepéquez vs Antigua GFC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Suchitepéquez goals. Columns: Antigua GFC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Suchitepéquez vs Antigua GFC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Suchitepéquez vs Antigua GFC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Suchitepéquez | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Antigua GFC | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Suchitepéquez or draw) | 57% | 1.77 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Antigua GFC) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Antigua GFC win by 2+ | 23% | 4.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Suchitepéquez and Antigua GFC recent form
Suchitepéquez
1W 2D 3L
Antigua GFC
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Suchitepéquez at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-6-1
- Win rate
- 22%
- Goals for / match
- 1.56
- Goals against / match
- 1.44
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 9
- They have won 2 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 18 matches.
Antigua GFC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-5
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 9
- They have won 11 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Suchitepéquez at home only, Antigua GFC away only.
Suchitepéquez vs Antigua GFC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Suchitepéquez 2 · draws 0 · Antigua GFC 8.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Antigua GFC | 3-2 | Suchitepéquez | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2018-04-19 | Antigua GFC | 2-3 | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| 2018-02-18 | Suchitepéquez | 1-3 | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-10-08 | Antigua GFC | 5-0 | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-08-05 | Suchitepéquez | 1-0 | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-03-29 | Antigua GFC | 2-1 | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-02-01 | Suchitepéquez | 1-3 | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
| 2016-10-12 | Suchitepéquez | 2-4 | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
| 2016-07-27 | Antigua GFC | 2-1 | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| 2016-05-01 | Suchitepéquez | 0-1 | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
- Aurora vs Mixco — team news & stats 2026-11-12
- Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial — team news & stats 2026-11-14
- Malacateco vs Municipal 2026-11-15
- Xelajú v Guastatoya — match page 2026-11-15
- Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Suchitepéquez, previous: Guastatoya v Suchitepéquez analysis
- Antigua GFC, previous: Antigua GFC vs Malacateco prediction