Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial preview
In the match between Comunicaciones and Cobán Imperial, the 1X2 probabilities show Comunicaciones at 57% to win, while Cobán Imperial sits at 20%. Our model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1, which occurs at a rate of 10%. The expected goals indicate Comunicaciones at 1.99 and Cobán Imperial at 1.11, suggesting a stronger attacking performance from the home side.
However, Cobán Imperial's recent form includes three wins in their last five matches, which could challenge Comunicaciones. Additionally, both teams to score stands at 59%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 60%, indicating potential for a higher-scoring game. The confidence grade is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial: model vs market
| Source | Comunicaciones | Draw | Cobán Imperial |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.02.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Comunicaciones and Cobán Imperial expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.94
- Attack rating (Comunicaciones / Cobán Imperial)
- 1.12 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Comunicaciones / Cobán Imperial)
- 1.02 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Comunicaciones goals. Columns: Cobán Imperial goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Comunicaciones | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.16 | |
| Cobán Imperial | 19% | 5.36 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| No | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Comunicaciones or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Cobán Imperial) | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Handicap -1 | Comunicaciones win by 2+ | 34% | 2.91 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Comunicaciones and Cobán Imperial recent form
Comunicaciones
3W 0D 3L
Cobán Imperial
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Comunicaciones at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-4
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.56
- Goals against / match
- 1.11
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 9
- They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 18 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cobán Imperial away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-5
- Win rate
- 11%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 9
- They have won 7 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 18 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Comunicaciones at home only, Cobán Imperial away only.
Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Comunicaciones 4 · draws 2 · Cobán Imperial 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Cobán Imperial | 2-2 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-03-15 | Cobán Imperial | 2-0 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-01-25 | Comunicaciones | 2-3 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-11-08 | Comunicaciones | 1-0 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-09-03 | Cobán Imperial | 3-1 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-04-06 | Comunicaciones | 3-2 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| 2025-02-02 | Cobán Imperial | 0-0 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-11-30 | Cobán Imperial | 2-1 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-11-28 | Comunicaciones | 1-0 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-11-21 | Comunicaciones | 4-2 | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
- Aurora vs Mixco — team news & stats 2026-11-12
- Malacateco vs Municipal 2026-11-15
- Xelajú v Guastatoya — match page 2026-11-15
- Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense 2026-11-15
- Suchitepéquez v Antigua GFC — match page 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Comunicaciones, previous: Marquense v Comunicaciones analysis
- Cobán Imperial, previous: Cobán Imperial – Xelajú, 2026-11-08