Comunicaciones vs Mixco preview
In the match between Comunicaciones and Mixco, the model gives Comunicaciones a 48% chance to win, while both teams have a 26% chance of a draw or a Mixco victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% probability. The model also indicates a 56% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood for both teams to score.
Comunicaciones has an expected goals figure of 1.72 compared to Mixco's 1.23. Recent form shows Comunicaciones with two wins in their last six matches, while Mixco has been more consistent with four matches without a loss. However, Mixco has performed better in their last 10 encounters, winning 6 times against Comunicaciones' 2 wins.
Comunicaciones vs Mixco: model vs market
| Source | Comunicaciones | Draw | Mixco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.23.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Comunicaciones and Mixco expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.95
- Attack rating (Comunicaciones / Mixco)
- 0.99 / 1.35
- Defence rating (Comunicaciones / Mixco)
- 1.06 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Comunicaciones vs Mixco score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Comunicaciones goals. Columns: Mixco goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Comunicaciones vs Mixco goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Comunicaciones vs Mixco
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Comunicaciones | 48% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Mixco | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.30 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| No | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Comunicaciones or draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Mixco) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | Comunicaciones win by 2+ | 26% | 3.80 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Comunicaciones and Mixco recent form
Comunicaciones
3W 0D 3L
Mixco
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Comunicaciones at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 1.12
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 8
- They have won 5 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 16 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mixco away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-5
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.12
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 8
- They have won 6 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Comunicaciones at home only, Mixco away only.
Comunicaciones vs Mixco head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Comunicaciones 2 · draws 2 · Mixco 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Mixco | 1-1 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-04-02 | Comunicaciones | 1-0 | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-02-14 | Mixco | 2-2 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-10-04 | Comunicaciones | 0-1 | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-07-26 | Mixco | 1-0 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-03-05 | Mixco | 1-0 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2025-01-18 | Comunicaciones | 2-1 | Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-09-18 | Mixco | 2-1 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-04-07 | Comunicaciones | 0-1 | Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| 2023-10-28 | Mixco | 2-1 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 18 fixtures
- Aurora vs Antigua GFC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal 2026-11-01
- Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Comunicaciones, previous: Municipal vs Comunicaciones: odds and pick
- Mixco, previous: Mixco vs Xelajú: odds and pick