Municipal vs Comunicaciones preview
In the Guatemala Liga Nacional fixture, Municipal has a 66% probability to win against Comunicaciones, who sit at 10%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an expected goals of 1.84 for Municipal and 0.59 for Comunicaciones. This suggests a strong advantage for Municipal, but the match could still see a different outcome if Comunicaciones improves their recent form, which shows 3 losses in their last 5 matches.
For goal-scoring options, there is a 44% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance for both teams to score. Municipal's recent performance includes 4 draws and only 1 win in their last 5 matches, indicating potential vulnerabilities. If they fail to convert chances or if Comunicaciones finds form, the expected results could shift.
Municipal vs Comunicaciones: model vs market
| Source | Municipal | Draw | Comunicaciones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 28% | 14% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 58% | 28% | 14% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.62.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Municipal and Comunicaciones expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.13
- Attack rating (Municipal / Comunicaciones)
- 0.87 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Municipal / Comunicaciones)
- 0.74 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Municipal vs Comunicaciones score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Municipal goals. Columns: Comunicaciones goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Municipal vs Comunicaciones goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 37%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Municipal vs Comunicaciones
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal | 58% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Comunicaciones | 14% | 7.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37% | 2.69 |
| No | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Municipal or draw) | 86% | 1.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Comunicaciones) | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal win by 2+ | 31% | 3.20 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Municipal and Comunicaciones recent form
Municipal
0W 4D 2L
Comunicaciones
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Municipal at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 8
- They have won 7 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Comunicaciones away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-4
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.62
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 8
- They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Municipal at home only, Comunicaciones away only.
Municipal vs Comunicaciones head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Municipal 2 · draws 2 · Comunicaciones 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Comunicaciones | 0-1 | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-04-16 | Municipal | 1-0 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-02-26 | Comunicaciones | 1-0 | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-10-19 | Comunicaciones | 0-0 | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-08-10 | Municipal | 1-1 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 17 fixtures
- Cobán Imperial v Suchitepéquez — match page 2026-10-28
- Malacateco vs Aurora — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Mixco vs Xelajú — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro 2026-10-30
- Marquense v Guastatoya — match page 2026-10-30
Before and after this match
- Municipal, previous: Xelajú vs Municipal prediction
- Comunicaciones, previous: Comunicaciones v Antigua GFC analysis