Comunicaciones vs Antigua GFC preview
In the fixture between Comunicaciones and Antigua GFC, the key figure is 56%, which represents the probability of Comunicaciones winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance. However, the recent form shows Comunicaciones with L-L-W-W-L-D, while Antigua GFC has D-W-D-L-L-L, which could impact the outcome.
Our model indicates a 64% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 62% probability for both teams to score. Expected goals are 2.06 for Comunicaciones and 1.21 for Antigua GFC. Despite Comunicaciones having a higher probability of winning, Antigua GFC's strong head-to-head record with 5 wins in the last 7 matches poses a potential challenge.
Comunicaciones vs Antigua GFC: model vs market
| Source | Comunicaciones | Draw | Antigua GFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Comunicaciones and Antigua GFC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.27
- Attack rating (Comunicaciones / Antigua GFC)
- 1.07 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Comunicaciones / Antigua GFC)
- 1.20 / 1.18
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Comunicaciones vs Antigua GFC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Comunicaciones goals. Columns: Antigua GFC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Comunicaciones vs Antigua GFC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Comunicaciones vs Antigua GFC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Comunicaciones | 56% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.36 | |
| Antigua GFC | 21% | 4.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.74 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Comunicaciones or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Antigua GFC) | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Handicap -1 | Comunicaciones win by 2+ | 34% | 2.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Comunicaciones and Antigua GFC recent form
Comunicaciones
2W 1D 3L
Antigua GFC
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Comunicaciones at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Antigua GFC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-4
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Comunicaciones at home only, Antigua GFC away only.
Comunicaciones vs Antigua GFC head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Comunicaciones 2 · draws 0 · Antigua GFC 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Antigua GFC | 2-0 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-05-03 | Comunicaciones | 2-0 | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-04-30 | Antigua GFC | 3-2 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-03-20 | Comunicaciones | 0-1 | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-01-29 | Antigua GFC | 0-1 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-11-17 | Antigua GFC | 3-1 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-09-13 | Comunicaciones | 0-3 | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Xelajú vs Municipal — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Guastatoya v Mixco — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Comunicaciones, previous: Malacateco – Comunicaciones, 2026-10-21
- Antigua GFC, previous: Antigua GFC vs Xelajú prediction