Comunicaciones vs Aurora preview
In the match between Comunicaciones and Aurora, the 1X2 probabilities show a strong favor for Comunicaciones at 71%, while Aurora stands at just 12%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, which aligns with expected goals of 2.57 for Comunicaciones and 0.99 for Aurora. With 69% for Over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, there is potential for a high-scoring game.
However, the recent form indicates that Comunicaciones has mixed results with W-W-L-D-L-D, while Aurora has struggled, losing 6 of their last 7 matches. Aurora's better head-to-head record, with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters against Comunicaciones, could challenge the predictions.
Comunicaciones vs Aurora: model vs market
| Source | Comunicaciones | Draw | Aurora |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71% | 18% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 71% | 18% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.57 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Comunicaciones and Aurora expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.56
- Attack rating (Comunicaciones / Aurora)
- 1.16 / 1.05
- Defence rating (Comunicaciones / Aurora)
- 1.11 / 1.35
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Comunicaciones vs Aurora score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Comunicaciones goals. Columns: Aurora goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Comunicaciones vs Aurora goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Comunicaciones vs Aurora
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Comunicaciones | 71% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.67 | |
| Aurora | 12% | 8.63 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.71 |
| No | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Comunicaciones or draw) | 88% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or Aurora) | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Comunicaciones win by 2+ | 50% | 2.00 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Comunicaciones and Aurora recent form
Comunicaciones
2W 2D 2L
Aurora
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Comunicaciones at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aurora away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Comunicaciones at home only, Aurora away only.
Comunicaciones vs Aurora head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Comunicaciones 1 · draws 1 · Aurora 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Aurora | 3-1 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-04-11 | Comunicaciones | 1-0 | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-02-22 | Aurora | 2-0 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-11-05 | Aurora | 0-0 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-08-30 | Comunicaciones | 0-2 | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Marquense v Mixco — match page 2026-10-15
- Xelajú vs Malacateco 2026-10-15
- Cobán Imperial vs Municipal 2026-10-15
- Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro — team news & stats 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Comunicaciones, previous: Deportivo San Pedro vs Comunicaciones: odds and pick
- Aurora, previous: Aurora v Xelajú analysis