Cobán Imperial vs Municipal preview
In the upcoming match between Cobán Imperial and Municipal, the 1X2 probabilities show Cobán Imperial at 31%, a draw at 31%, and Municipal at 38%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a probability of 11%. Municipal has a recent form of D-W-D-W-D-W, while Cobán Imperial's form is W-W-D-D-D-L.
The expected goals are 1.08 for Cobán Imperial and 1.21 for Municipal. There is a 40% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance for both teams to score. These figures suggest Municipal may have the edge, but Cobán Imperial's home advantage could disrupt expectations.
Cobán Imperial vs Municipal: model vs market
| Source | Cobán Imperial | Draw | Municipal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Cobán Imperial and Municipal expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.29
- Attack rating (Cobán Imperial / Municipal)
- 1.06 / 1.33
- Defence rating (Cobán Imperial / Municipal)
- 1.08 / 0.62
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cobán Imperial vs Municipal score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cobán Imperial goals. Columns: Municipal goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cobán Imperial vs Municipal goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cobán Imperial vs Municipal
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobán Imperial | 31% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Municipal | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.10 |
| No | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cobán Imperial or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Municipal) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal win by 2+ | 17% | 5.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Cobán Imperial and Municipal recent form
Cobán Imperial
2W 3D 1L
Municipal
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cobán Imperial at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Municipal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cobán Imperial at home only, Municipal away only.
Cobán Imperial vs Municipal head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Cobán Imperial 0 · draws 2 · Municipal 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Municipal | 2-0 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-04-06 | Municipal | 0-0 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-02-18 | Cobán Imperial | 0-0 | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-10-12 | Municipal | 3-1 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-08-03 | Cobán Imperial | 0-1 | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Comunicaciones v Aurora — match page 2026-10-14
- Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Marquense v Mixco — match page 2026-10-15
- Xelajú vs Malacateco 2026-10-15
- Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro — team news & stats 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Cobán Imperial, previous: Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial: odds and pick
- Municipal, previous: Municipal – Marquense, 2026-10-11