Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro preview
In the fixture between Suchitepéquez and Deportivo San Pedro, the 1X2 probabilities show Suchitepéquez at 36%, Deportivo San Pedro at 34%, and a draw at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% chance according to our model.
Both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating a fairly balanced offensive capability. However, the recent form shows Suchitepéquez with 5 consecutive losses, while Deportivo San Pedro has only 1 win in their last 6 matches. This could affect the expected goals of 1.25 for Suchitepéquez and 1.20 for Deportivo San Pedro, making the outcome less predictable.
Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro: model vs market
| Source | Suchitepéquez | Draw | Deportivo San Pedro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Suchitepéquez and Deportivo San Pedro expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.45
- Attack rating (Suchitepéquez / Deportivo San Pedro)
- 0.83 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Suchitepéquez / Deportivo San Pedro)
- 1.60 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Suchitepéquez goals. Columns: Deportivo San Pedro goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Suchitepéquez | 36% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| No | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Suchitepéquez or draw) | 66% | 1.51 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportivo San Pedro) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Handicap -1 | Suchitepéquez win by 2+ | 16% | 6.12 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Suchitepéquez and Deportivo San Pedro recent form
Suchitepéquez
0W 2D 4L
Deportivo San Pedro
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Suchitepéquez at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Deportivo San Pedro away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Suchitepéquez at home only, Deportivo San Pedro away only.
Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Suchitepéquez 0 · draws 0 · Deportivo San Pedro 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Deportivo San Pedro | 3-0 | Suchitepéquez | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Comunicaciones v Aurora — match page 2026-10-14
- Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Marquense v Mixco — match page 2026-10-15
- Xelajú vs Malacateco 2026-10-15
- Cobán Imperial vs Municipal 2026-10-15
Before and after this match
- Suchitepéquez, previous: Suchitepéquez v Mixco analysis
- Deportivo San Pedro, previous: Deportivo San Pedro vs Comunicaciones: odds and pick