Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC: model vs market
| Source | Ferencvarosi TC | Draw | Debreceni VSC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| Market | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| Published | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.33, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Ferencvarosi TC, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvarosi TC | 1.30 | 1.27 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 5.50 | 5.42 | -0.08 |
| Debreceni VSC | 7.52 | 7.50 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.39
- Attack rating (Ferencvarosi TC / Debreceni VSC)
- 1.20 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Ferencvarosi TC / Debreceni VSC)
- 0.66 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ferencvarosi TC goals. Columns: Debreceni VSC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 71% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.86 | |
| Debreceni VSC | 12% | 8.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| No | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ferencvarosi TC or draw) | 88% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or Debreceni VSC) | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferencvarosi TC win by 2+ | 49% | 2.02 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 2 | First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 4 | 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ferencvarosi TC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Debreceni VSC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ferencvarosi TC at home only, Debreceni VSC away only.
Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Ferencvarosi TC 2 · draws 0 · Debreceni VSC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Debreceni VSC | 0-2 | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
| 2025-12-14 | Ferencvarosi TC | 0-1 | Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| 2025-08-31 | Debreceni VSC | 0-3 | Ferencvarosi TC | NB I |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Vasas v Kisvarda FC — match page 2026-10-10
- Paks vs MTK Budapest — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- Zalaegerszegi TE v Nyiregyhaza — match page 2026-10-11
- Budapest Honved vs Ujpest — team news & stats 2026-10-11
- Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy 2026-10-11