NB I · Matchday 9

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC

· Groupama Arena, Budapest

Alin prediction Ferencvarosi TC to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Ferencvarosi TCDrawDebreceni VSC
Best market odds
Ferencvarosi TC1.33 Draw5.66 Debreceni VSC7.95
Bet on Ferencvarosi TC

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFerencvarosi TCDrawDebreceni VSC
Model71%18%11%
Market71%17%12%
Published71%17%12%
Edge0%+1%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.33, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Ferencvarosi TC, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 1.30Now 1.27 -0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Ferencvarosi TC1.301.27-0.03
Draw5.505.42-0.08
Debreceni VSC7.527.50-0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.48Ferencvarosi TC
0.92Debreceni VSC
Total expected goals
3.39
Attack rating (Ferencvarosi TC / Debreceni VSC)
1.20 / 0.96
Defence rating (Ferencvarosi TC / Debreceni VSC)
0.66 / 1.28

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.1% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 1 7.6% 8.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 2 10.3% 9.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.4% 3 8.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 4+ 9.5% 8.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%

Rows: Ferencvarosi TC goals. Columns: Debreceni VSC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 66%
Over 3.5 44%
Both teams to score
56%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Ferencvarosi TC71%1.41
Draw17%5.86
Debreceni VSC12%8.43
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566%1.52
Under 2.534%2.93
Both teams to scoreYes56%1.79
No44%2.26
Double chance1X (Ferencvarosi TC or draw)88%1.13
12 (either side)83%1.21
X2 (draw or Debreceni VSC)29%3.46
Handicap -1Ferencvarosi TC win by 2+49%2.02
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

Ferencvarosi TC and Debreceni VSC recent form

Ferencvarosi TC 4W 2D 0L
Debreceni VSC 1W 3D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Ferencvarosi TC at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 2
  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Debreceni VSC away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Ferencvarosi TC at home only, Debreceni VSC away only.

Ferencvarosi TC vs Debreceni VSC head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Ferencvarosi TC 2 · draws 0 · Debreceni VSC 1.

Ferencvarosi TCDrawsDebreceni VSC
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-05Debreceni VSC0-2Ferencvarosi TCNB I
2025-12-14Ferencvarosi TC0-1Debreceni VSCNB I
2025-08-31Debreceni VSC0-3Ferencvarosi TCNB I

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Prediction snapshot Ferencvarosi TC to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Ferencvarosi TC