NB I · Matchday 9

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy

· ETO Park

Alin prediction Gyori ETO FC to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Gyori ETO FCDrawPuskas Academy
Best market odds
Gyori ETO FC2.27 Draw3.60 Puskas Academy3.00
Bet on Gyori ETO FC

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 8 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceGyori ETO FCDrawPuskas Academy
Model43%27%31%
Market42%26%32%
Published42%26%32%
Edge+1%0%-1%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Gyori ETO FC, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 2.22Now 2.18 -0.04
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Gyori ETO FC2.222.18-0.04
Draw3.603.43-0.17
Puskas Academy2.792.83+0.05

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Gyori ETO FC and Puskas Academy expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.61Gyori ETO FC
1.33Puskas Academy
Total expected goals
2.94
Attack rating (Gyori ETO FC / Puskas Academy)
1.12 / 1.05
Defence rating (Gyori ETO FC / Puskas Academy)
0.88 / 0.90

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.4% 5.9% 4.7% 2.1% 0.9% 1 7.4% 12.5% 7.5% 3.3% 1.5% 2 6.8% 9.1% 6.1% 2.7% 1.2% 3 3.7% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.6% 4+ 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.4%

Rows: Gyori ETO FC goals. Columns: Puskas Academy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 34%
Both teams to score
60%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Gyori ETO FC42%2.39
Draw26%3.78
Puskas Academy32%3.16
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556%1.78
Under 2.544%2.29
Both teams to scoreYes60%1.67
No40%2.50
Double chance1X (Gyori ETO FC or draw)68%1.46
12 (either side)74%1.36
X2 (draw or Puskas Academy)58%1.72
Handicap -1Gyori ETO FC win by 2+22%4.45
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
 Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
 Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
 Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
 Get offer

18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.

Gyori ETO FC and Puskas Academy recent form

Gyori ETO FC 3W 2D 1L
Puskas Academy 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Gyori ETO FC at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
2.50
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Puskas Academy away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Gyori ETO FC at home only, Puskas Academy away only.

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Gyori ETO FC 3 · draws 0 · Puskas Academy 0.

Gyori ETO FCDrawsPuskas Academy
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-10Puskas Academy1-4Gyori ETO FCNB I
2025-12-20Gyori ETO FC2-0Puskas AcademyNB I
2025-09-20Puskas Academy0-2Gyori ETO FCNB I

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Prediction snapshot Gyori ETO FC to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Gyori ETO FC
Our pick: Gyori ETO FC to win 18+ Bet Now