Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza: model vs market
| Source | Zalaegerszegi TE | Draw | Nyiregyhaza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Market | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Published | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +3% |
- The market prices Nyiregyhaza below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Nyiregyhaza, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-06.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zalaegerszegi TE | 2.67 | 2.67 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.27 | 3.27 | +0.00 |
| Nyiregyhaza | 2.30 | 2.30 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zalaegerszegi TE and Nyiregyhaza expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.82
- Attack rating (Zalaegerszegi TE / Nyiregyhaza)
- 0.72 / 0.90
- Defence rating (Zalaegerszegi TE / Nyiregyhaza)
- 1.19 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zalaegerszegi TE goals. Columns: Nyiregyhaza goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Nyiregyhaza | 40% | 2.52 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.72 |
| No | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zalaegerszegi TE or draw) | 60% | 1.66 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Nyiregyhaza) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nyiregyhaza win by 2+ | 21% | 4.67 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zalaegerszegi TE and Nyiregyhaza recent form
Zalaegerszegi TE
1W 0D 5L
Nyiregyhaza
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zalaegerszegi TE at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nyiregyhaza away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zalaegerszegi TE at home only, Nyiregyhaza away only.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Zalaegerszegi TE 0 · draws 0 · Nyiregyhaza 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Nyiregyhaza | 2-1 | Zalaegerszegi TE | NB I |
| 2026-02-01 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 0-1 | Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
| 2025-10-04 | Nyiregyhaza | 3-1 | Zalaegerszegi TE | NB I |
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