Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC preview
Avispa Fukuoka faces Yokohama FC in the Emperor Cup, with a 43% probability of victory for Avispa Fukuoka according to the model. The expected goals show Avispa Fukuoka at 1.54 and Yokohama FC at 1.12, suggesting a tight match. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with the 50% chance of Over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
Avispa Fukuoka's recent form is concerning, with four losses and only one draw in their last six matches. In contrast, Yokohama FC is performing better with two wins and a draw in their last three games. This disparity in form could influence the outcome, making it possible for Yokohama FC to surprise.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC: model vs market
| Source | Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Yokohama FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 42% | 30% | 28% |
| Published | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| Edge | +4% | -3% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.12.
- The market prices Avispa Fukuoka below the model: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Avispa Fukuoka and Yokohama FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.66
- Attack rating (Avispa Fukuoka / Yokohama FC)
- 0.69 / 1.24
- Defence rating (Avispa Fukuoka / Yokohama FC)
- 0.85 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Avispa Fukuoka goals. Columns: Yokohama FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avispa Fukuoka | 43% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Yokohama FC | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Avispa Fukuoka or draw) | 73% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Yokohama FC) | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Handicap -1 | Avispa Fukuoka win by 2+ | 24% | 4.20 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka and Yokohama FC recent form
Avispa Fukuoka
0W 2D 4L
Yokohama FC
2W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Avispa Fukuoka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Avispa Fukuoka at home only, Yokohama FC away only.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Avispa Fukuoka 2 · draws 6 · Yokohama FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1-0 | Yokohama FC | J1 League |
| 2025-05-10 | Yokohama FC | 1-0 | Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| 2023-08-12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 2-0 | Yokohama FC | J1 League |
| 2023-04-01 | Yokohama FC | 1-1 | Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| 2021-11-07 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1-1 | Yokohama FC | J1 League |
| 2021-05-26 | Yokohama FC | 1-1 | Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| 2019-08-04 | Avispa Fukuoka | 0-2 | Yokohama FC | J2 League |
| 2019-04-07 | Yokohama FC | 1-1 | Avispa Fukuoka | J2 League |
| 2018-09-12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 0-0 | Yokohama FC | J2 League |
| 2018-04-08 | Yokohama FC | 2-2 | Avispa Fukuoka | J2 League |
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