Gainare Tottori vs Tokyo Verdy preview
In the Emperor Cup fixture, Gainare Tottori faces Tokyo Verdy. The model gives Tokyo Verdy a 50% chance to win, compared to Gainare Tottori's 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an expected goals tally showing Gainare Tottori at 2.48 and Tokyo Verdy at 0.68.
The market suggests a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 61%, while both teams to score stands at 46%. However, Gainare Tottori's recent form is mixed with a win, draw, and loss, which could impact their performance. Tokyo Verdy has struggled, with four recent matches resulting in three losses and a draw, which may affect their chances as well.
Gainare Tottori vs Tokyo Verdy: model vs market
| Source | Gainare Tottori | Draw | Tokyo Verdy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 76% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 15% | 21% | 64% |
| Published | 30% | 20% | 50% |
| Edge | +61% | -5% | -57% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Gainare Tottori and Tokyo Verdy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.16
- Attack rating (Gainare Tottori / Tokyo Verdy)
- 1.10 / 0.64
- Defence rating (Gainare Tottori / Tokyo Verdy)
- 1.00 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gainare Tottori vs Tokyo Verdy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gainare Tottori goals. Columns: Tokyo Verdy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gainare Tottori vs Tokyo Verdy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gainare Tottori vs Tokyo Verdy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gainare Tottori | 30% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.03 | |
| Tokyo Verdy | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.17 |
| No | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gainare Tottori or draw) | 50% | 2.00 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Tokyo Verdy) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Tokyo Verdy win by 2+ | 2% | 48.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 5% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gainare Tottori and Tokyo Verdy recent form
Gainare Tottori
1W 1D 1L
Tokyo Verdy
1W 2D 3L
Last 3 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gainare Tottori at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Gainare Tottori at home only, Tokyo Verdy away only.
Gainare Tottori vs Tokyo Verdy head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Gainare Tottori 0 · draws 1 · Tokyo Verdy 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-07-07 | Gainare Tottori | 1-1 | Tokyo Verdy | J2 League |
| 2013-04-14 | Tokyo Verdy | 3-0 | Gainare Tottori | J2 League |
| 2012-07-15 | Tokyo Verdy | 1-0 | Gainare Tottori | J2 League |
| 2012-06-09 | Gainare Tottori | 0-2 | Tokyo Verdy | J2 League |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Iwaki — match page 2026-10-07
- Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United 2026-10-07
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC — team news & stats 2026-10-07
- Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki — team news & stats 2026-10-07
- FC Tokyo v Shonan Bellmare — match page 2026-10-07
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2026-10-07
- Yokohama F. Marinos v Kyoto Sangyo University — match page 2026-10-07
- Fagiano Okayama v JEF United Chiba — match page 2026-10-07