Ballkani vs Drita: model vs market
| Source | Ballkani | Draw | Drita |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ballkani and Drita expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.34
- Attack rating (Ballkani / Drita)
- 0.96 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Ballkani / Drita)
- 0.95 / 0.75
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ballkani vs Drita score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ballkani goals. Columns: Drita goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ballkani vs Drita goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ballkani vs Drita
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballkani | 29% | 3.45 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 | |
| Drita | 41% | 2.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.07 |
| No | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ballkani or draw) | 59% | 1.68 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Drita) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Drita win by 2+ | 19% | 5.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ballkani and Drita recent form
Ballkani
3W 1D 2L
Drita
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ballkani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Drita away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ballkani at home only, Drita away only.
Ballkani vs Drita head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Ballkani 3 · draws 0 · Drita 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Drita | 2-0 | Ballkani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-03-15 | Ballkani | 3-0 | Drita | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-11-30 | Drita | 2-3 | Ballkani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-09-25 | Ballkani | 2-0 | Drita | Kosovo Superliga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Gjilani v Drenica Skënderaj — match page 2026-10-13