Ballkani vs Prishtina preview
In the Kosovo Superliga fixture between Ballkani and Prishtina, the 1X2 probabilities show Prishtina at 47%, compared to Ballkani's 24%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 12% chance according to our model. Prishtina has shown strong recent form, winning 6 of their last 7 matches, while Ballkani has only 2 wins in their last 5 games.
The expected goals indicate Ballkani at 0.92 and Prishtina at 1.40, suggesting a low-scoring match. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 41%, while both teams to score is at 47%. If Ballkani can improve their attacking output, they could challenge Prishtina's dominance, but recent trends favor the visitors.
Ballkani vs Prishtina: model vs market
| Source | Ballkani | Draw | Prishtina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 30% | 45% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 25% | 30% | 45% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ballkani and Prishtina expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.32
- Attack rating (Ballkani / Prishtina)
- 0.86 / 1.34
- Defence rating (Ballkani / Prishtina)
- 0.84 / 0.78
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ballkani vs Prishtina score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ballkani goals. Columns: Prishtina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ballkani vs Prishtina goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ballkani vs Prishtina
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballkani | 25% | 3.99 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Prishtina | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.45 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ballkani or draw) | 55% | 1.81 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Prishtina) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Handicap -1 | Prishtina win by 2+ | 22% | 4.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Ballkani and Prishtina recent form
Ballkani
2W 1D 3L
Prishtina
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ballkani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Prishtina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ballkani at home only, Prishtina away only.
Ballkani vs Prishtina head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Ballkani 1 · draws 0 · Prishtina 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Prishtina | 4-2 | Ballkani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-05-24 | Ballkani | 1-2 | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-03-21 | Prishtina | 1-0 | Ballkani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-12-14 | Ballkani | 3-1 | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-10-04 | Prishtina | 1-0 | Ballkani | Kosovo Superliga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Llapi vs Drita — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Malisheva vs Vushtrria 2026-10-18
- Gjilani v Feronikeli — match page 2026-10-18
- Dukagjini vs Drenica Skënderaj 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Ballkani, previous: Ballkani vs Drita prediction
- Prishtina, previous: Malisheva vs Prishtina prediction