Malisheva vs Vushtrria preview
In the Kosovo Superliga fixture between Malisheva and Vushtrria, the 1X2 probabilities show Malisheva at 79% to win, while Vushtrria sits at just 7%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with expected goals of 2.86 for Malisheva and only 0.81 for Vushtrria.
However, the recent form indicates some unpredictability. Malisheva has won 4 of their last 6 matches, while Vushtrria has lost 4 of their last 6. Additionally, there's a 71% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance for both teams to score. If Vushtrria finds a way to improve their performance, the expected outcome could change.
Malisheva vs Vushtrria: model vs market
| Source | Malisheva | Draw | Vushtrria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 84% | 12% | 4% |
| Market | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| Published | 81% | 13% | 5% |
| Edge | +4% | -2% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.91 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Malisheva below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.17, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Malisheva and Vushtrria expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.46
- Attack rating (Malisheva / Vushtrria)
- 1.47 / 0.57
- Defence rating (Malisheva / Vushtrria)
- 0.82 / 1.38
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Malisheva vs Vushtrria score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Malisheva goals. Columns: Vushtrria goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Malisheva vs Vushtrria goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Malisheva vs Vushtrria
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malisheva | 81% | 1.23 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.45 | |
| Vushtrria | 5% | 18.67 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.05 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.44 |
| No | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Malisheva or draw) | 95% | 1.06 |
| 12 (either side) | 87% | 1.16 | |
| X2 (draw or Vushtrria) | 19% | 5.32 | |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win by 2+ | 66% | 1.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Malisheva and Vushtrria recent form
Malisheva
4W 1D 1L
Vushtrria
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Malisheva at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Vushtrria away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Malisheva at home only, Vushtrria away only.
Malisheva vs Vushtrria head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Malisheva 2 · draws 0 · Vushtrria 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Vushtrria | 1-6 | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2022-05-28 | Vushtrria | 1-3 | Malisheva | Superliga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Llapi vs Drita — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Gjilani v Feronikeli — match page 2026-10-18
- Ballkani vs Prishtina — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- Dukagjini vs Drenica Skënderaj 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Malisheva, previous: Malisheva vs Prishtina prediction
- Vushtrria, previous: Dukagjini vs Vushtrria: odds and pick