Malisheva vs Prishtina preview
In the Kosovo Superliga fixture between Malisheva and Prishtina, the 1X2 probabilities show Malisheva at 45%, Prishtina at 31%, and a draw at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals each have a 70% probability, indicating a strong likelihood of an open match.
Malisheva's recent form includes 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches, while Prishtina has won all 6 of their recent games. This could affect the outcome, as Prishtina's consistent performance may challenge Malisheva's home advantage. The expected goals are 1.98 for Malisheva and 1.63 for Prishtina, suggesting a competitive match.
Malisheva vs Prishtina: model vs market
| Source | Malisheva | Draw | Prishtina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.49.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Malisheva and Prishtina expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.37
- Attack rating (Malisheva / Prishtina)
- 1.57 / 1.50
- Defence rating (Malisheva / Prishtina)
- 0.81 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Malisheva vs Prishtina score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Malisheva goals. Columns: Prishtina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Malisheva vs Prishtina goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Malisheva vs Prishtina
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malisheva | 46% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 | |
| Prishtina | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| No | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Malisheva or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Prishtina) | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win by 2+ | 26% | 3.86 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Malisheva and Prishtina recent form
Malisheva
5W 0D 1L
Prishtina
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Malisheva at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
Prishtina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Malisheva at home only, Prishtina away only.
Malisheva vs Prishtina head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Malisheva 3 · draws 0 · Prishtina 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Prishtina | 0-1 | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-03-09 | Malisheva | 3-0 | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-11-22 | Prishtina | 0-2 | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-09-21 | Malisheva | 1-3 | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Ballkani vs Drita 2026-10-13
- Gjilani v Drenica Skënderaj — match page 2026-10-13
- Feronikeli vs Llapi — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Dukagjini vs Vushtrria 2026-10-14
Before and after this match
- Malisheva, previous: Drita vs Malisheva prediction
- Prishtina, previous: Prishtina vs Dukagjini: odds and pick