Gjilani vs Feronikeli preview
In the Kosovo Superliga fixture between Gjilani and Feronikeli, the 1X2 probabilities show Gjilani at 56%, while Feronikeli stands at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% chance. Gjilani has an expected goals figure of 1.67 compared to Feronikeli's 0.82, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the match could deviate from this forecast if Feronikeli improves their form, as they recently recorded two wins in their last six matches. Additionally, the probabilities for Over 2.5 goals sit at 45% and both teams to score at 47%, suggesting that while Gjilani is favored, there is still potential for surprises.
Gjilani vs Feronikeli: model vs market
| Source | Gjilani | Draw | Feronikeli |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 26% | 17% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 15% |
| Published | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Edge | -5% | +3% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.82.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.50, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update.
Gjilani and Feronikeli expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.49
- Attack rating (Gjilani / Feronikeli)
- 1.06 / 0.78
- Defence rating (Gjilani / Feronikeli)
- 0.87 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gjilani vs Feronikeli score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gjilani goals. Columns: Feronikeli goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gjilani vs Feronikeli goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gjilani vs Feronikeli
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 60% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.15 | |
| Feronikeli | 16% | 6.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.15 |
| No | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gjilani or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Feronikeli) | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gjilani win by 2+ | 32% | 3.15 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gjilani and Feronikeli recent form
Gjilani
2W 1D 3L
Feronikeli
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gjilani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Feronikeli away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gjilani at home only, Feronikeli away only.
Gjilani vs Feronikeli head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Gjilani 7 · draws 2 · Feronikeli 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Feronikeli | 1-3 | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-05-02 | Feronikeli | 2-3 | Gjilani | Superliga |
| 2025-03-09 | Gjilani | 1-0 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
| 2024-11-23 | Feronikeli | 0-3 | Gjilani | Superliga |
| 2024-09-16 | Gjilani | 2-0 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
| 2024-04-20 | Gjilani | 1-1 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
| 2024-02-21 | Feronikeli | 0-0 | Gjilani | Superliga |
| 2023-11-01 | Gjilani | 2-1 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
| 2023-08-26 | Feronikeli | 1-0 | Gjilani | Superliga |
| 2022-04-16 | Gjilani | 5-1 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Llapi vs Drita — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Malisheva vs Vushtrria 2026-10-18
- Ballkani vs Prishtina — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- Dukagjini vs Drenica Skënderaj 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Gjilani, previous: Gjilani – Drenica Skënderaj, 2026-10-13
- Feronikeli, previous: Feronikeli v Llapi analysis