Vushtrria vs Ballkani preview
In the Kosovo Superliga fixture between Vushtrria and Ballkani, the 1X2 probabilities show Ballkani at 50%, while Vushtrria sits at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 16% probability. Vushtrria's expected goals are 0.70, compared to Ballkani's 1.31, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
However, Vushtrria's recent form shows 5 losses in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. Both teams to score has a probability of 38%, and Over 2.5 goals sits at 33%. If Vushtrria can improve their attack or if Ballkani struggles to convert chances, the outcome could differ from the predictions.
Vushtrria vs Ballkani: model vs market
| Source | Vushtrria | Draw | Ballkani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19% | 31% | 50% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 19% | 31% | 50% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.70.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Vushtrria and Ballkani expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.01
- Attack rating (Vushtrria / Ballkani)
- 0.60 / 0.78
- Defence rating (Vushtrria / Ballkani)
- 1.40 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vushtrria vs Ballkani score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vushtrria goals. Columns: Ballkani goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vushtrria vs Ballkani goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vushtrria vs Ballkani
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vushtrria | 19% | 5.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 | |
| Ballkani | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33% | 3.06 |
| Under 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.62 |
| No | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vushtrria or draw) | 50% | 2.00 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Ballkani) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ballkani win by 2+ | 24% | 4.11 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vushtrria and Ballkani recent form
Vushtrria
1W 0D 5L
Ballkani
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vushtrria at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
Ballkani away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vushtrria at home only, Ballkani away only.
Vushtrria vs Ballkani head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Vushtrria 1 · draws 0 · Ballkani 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Ballkani | 2-1 | Vushtrria | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2020-06-29 | Ballkani | 3-1 | Vushtrria | Superliga |
| 2019-12-02 | Vushtrria | 1-0 | Ballkani | Superliga |
| 2019-09-23 | Ballkani | 5-2 | Vushtrria | Superliga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Gjilani vs Llapi 2026-10-23
- Drenica Skënderaj vs Malisheva — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Feronikeli vs Dukagjini 2026-10-25
- Prishtina v Drita — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Vushtrria, previous: Malisheva v Vushtrria analysis
- Ballkani, previous: Ballkani vs Prishtina prediction