Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius preview
In the upcoming match between Panevėžys and TransINVEST Vilnius, the 1X2 probabilities show Panevėžys at 42%, while TransINVEST Vilnius sits at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.53 for Panevėžys and 1.28 for TransINVEST Vilnius.
Both teams have shown decent form, with Panevėžys winning 4 of their last 6 games and TransINVEST Vilnius having 3 wins in their last 6. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty. Factors such as unexpected player performances or tactical changes could affect the outcome, potentially leading to fewer goals or a different result than predicted.
Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius: model vs market
| Source | Panevėžys | Draw | TransINVEST Vilnius |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 38% | 28% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Panevėžys and TransINVEST Vilnius expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.68
- Attack rating (Panevėžys / TransINVEST Vilnius)
- 1.05 / 1.33
- Defence rating (Panevėžys / TransINVEST Vilnius)
- 0.80 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Panevėžys goals. Columns: TransINVEST Vilnius goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panevėžys | 38% | 2.61 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 | |
| TransINVEST Vilnius | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| No | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Panevėžys or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or TransINVEST Vilnius) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Panevėžys win by 2+ | 18% | 5.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Panevėžys and TransINVEST Vilnius recent form
Panevėžys
4W 0D 2L
TransINVEST Vilnius
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Panevėžys at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-4
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
TransINVEST Vilnius away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-4-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.06
- Goals against / match
- 1.44
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Panevėžys at home only, TransINVEST Vilnius away only.
Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Panevėžys 2 · draws 0 · TransINVEST Vilnius 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 0-2 | Panevėžys | A Lyga |
| 2026-06-12 | Panevėžys | 1-2 | TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga |
| 2026-04-12 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 1-2 | Panevėžys | A Lyga |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Panevėžys, previous: Džiugas Telšiai – Panevėžys, 2026-10-25
- TransINVEST Vilnius, previous: TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen: odds and pick