Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai preview
In the A Lyga fixture between Šiauliai and Džiugas Telšiai, the 1X2 probabilities show Šiauliai at 31%, a draw at 27%, and Džiugas Telšiai at 41%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance according to our model.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Šiauliai recording L-D-L-L-L-W and Džiugas Telšiai at D-L-L-D-L-L. The expected goals are 1.30 for Šiauliai and 1.51 for Džiugas Telšiai. The model suggests a 53% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance for both teams to score. A potential upset could arise if Šiauliai improves their form or if Džiugas Telšiai continues to underperform.
Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai: model vs market
| Source | Šiauliai | Draw | Džiugas Telšiai |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Šiauliai and Džiugas Telšiai expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.81
- Attack rating (Šiauliai / Džiugas Telšiai)
- 0.62 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Šiauliai / Džiugas Telšiai)
- 1.42 / 1.44
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Šiauliai goals. Columns: Džiugas Telšiai goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Šiauliai | 32% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Džiugas Telšiai | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Šiauliai or draw) | 59% | 1.70 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Džiugas Telšiai) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Džiugas Telšiai win by 2+ | 21% | 4.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Šiauliai and Džiugas Telšiai recent form
Šiauliai
1W 1D 4L
Džiugas Telšiai
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Šiauliai at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-10
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.88
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 16
- They have won 4 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Džiugas Telšiai away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-5
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.53
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Šiauliai at home only, Džiugas Telšiai away only.
Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Šiauliai 3 · draws 1 · Džiugas Telšiai 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Šiauliai | 3-4 | Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| 2026-06-12 | Džiugas Telšiai | 4-3 | Šiauliai | A Lyga |
| 2026-04-12 | Džiugas Telšiai | 1-0 | Šiauliai | A Lyga |
| 2025-11-08 | Šiauliai | 2-2 | Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| 2025-08-31 | Džiugas Telšiai | 1-3 | Šiauliai | A Lyga |
| 2025-06-29 | Šiauliai | 5-0 | Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| 2025-04-26 | Džiugas Telšiai | 0-1 | Šiauliai | A Lyga |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- Panevėžys v TransINVEST Vilnius — match page 2026-10-31
- Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Šiauliai, previous: Banga vs Šiauliai prediction
- Džiugas Telšiai, previous: Džiugas Telšiai – Panevėžys, 2026-10-25