Suduva Marijampole vs Banga preview
In the upcoming match between Suduva Marijampole and Banga, the 1X2 probabilities show Suduva Marijampole at 40%, while Banga and a draw both sit at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs with an 11% probability. Suduva Marijampole has an expected goals figure of 1.32 compared to Banga's 1.09, suggesting a slight edge for the home team.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. Suduva Marijampole has recorded two losses and one win in their last five matches, while Banga has a mix of draws and losses. Both teams to score stands at 50%, indicating a reasonable chance for goals from both sides, which could challenge the predicted scoreline.
Suduva Marijampole vs Banga: model vs market
| Source | Suduva Marijampole | Draw | Banga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Suduva Marijampole and Banga expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.41
- Attack rating (Suduva Marijampole / Banga)
- 0.96 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Suduva Marijampole / Banga)
- 1.03 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Suduva Marijampole vs Banga score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Suduva Marijampole goals. Columns: Banga goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Suduva Marijampole vs Banga goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Suduva Marijampole vs Banga
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Suduva Marijampole | 40% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Banga | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| No | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Suduva Marijampole or draw) | 70% | 1.42 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Banga) | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Suduva Marijampole win by 2+ | 19% | 5.24 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Suduva Marijampole and Banga recent form
Suduva Marijampole
1W 2D 3L
Banga
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Suduva Marijampole at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-6-1
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 1.53
- Goals against / match
- 0.47
- Clean sheets
- 9 of 15
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Banga away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-5
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 16
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Suduva Marijampole at home only, Banga away only.
Suduva Marijampole vs Banga head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Suduva Marijampole 5 · draws 1 · Banga 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Banga | 0-3 | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| 2026-06-13 | Suduva Marijampole | 0-0 | Banga | A Lyga |
| 2026-04-11 | Banga | 2-1 | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| 2025-09-21 | Banga | 0-1 | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| 2025-08-17 | Suduva Marijampole | 2-1 | Banga | A Lyga |
| 2025-05-11 | Banga | 0-1 | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| 2025-03-09 | Suduva Marijampole | 1-0 | Banga | A Lyga |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- Panevėžys v TransINVEST Vilnius — match page 2026-10-31
- Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Žalgiris 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Suduva Marijampole, previous: FK Trakai vs Suduva Marijampole: odds and pick
- Banga, previous: Banga vs Šiauliai prediction