Hibernians vs Gzira United preview
Hibernians face Gzira United with a 43% chance of winning and a predicted scoreline of 1-0 at 13%. Hibernians have an expected goals tally of 1.25, while Gzira United sits at 0.89.
However, both teams to score stands at 43%, indicating a potential for Gzira United to find the net. Hibernians' recent form shows 5 matches without a win, while Gzira United has drawn 3 of their last 6. This could impact the outcome, making it less straightforward than the numbers suggest.
Hibernians vs Gzira United: model vs market
| Source | Hibernians | Draw | Gzira United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 44% | 32% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.88.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Hibernians and Gzira United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.14
- Attack rating (Hibernians / Gzira United)
- 0.76 / 0.63
- Defence rating (Hibernians / Gzira United)
- 1.21 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hibernians vs Gzira United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hibernians goals. Columns: Gzira United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hibernians vs Gzira United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hibernians vs Gzira United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hibernians | 44% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Gzira United | 25% | 4.04 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| No | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hibernians or draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Gzira United) | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hibernians win by 2+ | 20% | 4.91 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Hibernians and Gzira United recent form
Hibernians
0W 3D 3L
Gzira United
0W 3D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hibernians at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Gzira United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hibernians at home only, Gzira United away only.
Hibernians vs Gzira United head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Hibernians 2 · draws 0 · Gzira United 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Gzira United | 1-0 | Hibernians | Malta Premier League |
| 2026-01-06 | Hibernians | 4-1 | Gzira United | Malta Premier League |
| 2025-08-18 | Hibernians | 5-3 | Gzira United | Malta Premier League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC 2026-10-21
- Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk — team news & stats 2026-10-21
- Zabbar St. Patrick v Sliema Wanderers — match page 2026-10-21
- Mosta v Valletta FC — match page 2026-10-21
- Birkirkara vs Floriana — team news & stats 2026-10-22
Before and after this match
- Hibernians, previous: Hibernians vs Birzebbuga: odds and pick
- Gzira United, previous: Gzira United – Hamrun Spartans, 2026-10-18