Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers preview
In the Malta Premier League fixture between Zabbar St. Patrick and Sliema Wanderers, the 1X2 probabilities show Sliema Wanderers at 37% and Zabbar St. Patrick at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.12 for Zabbar St. Patrick and 1.23 for Sliema Wanderers.
Both teams to score sits at 49%, indicating a nearly even chance for both teams to find the net. However, the recent form shows Zabbar St. Patrick has struggled with L-L-D-L-D-W, while Sliema Wanderers has been more consistent with D-D-W-W-W-L. This discrepancy in form could impact the match's outcome.
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers: model vs market
| Source | Zabbar St. Patrick | Draw | Sliema Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Zabbar St. Patrick and Sliema Wanderers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.42
- Attack rating (Zabbar St. Patrick / Sliema Wanderers)
- 0.91 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Zabbar St. Patrick / Sliema Wanderers)
- 1.12 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zabbar St. Patrick goals. Columns: Sliema Wanderers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 35% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Sliema Wanderers | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| No | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zabbar St. Patrick or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Sliema Wanderers) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sliema Wanderers win by 2+ | 15% | 6.47 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zabbar St. Patrick and Sliema Wanderers recent form
Zabbar St. Patrick
1W 2D 3L
Sliema Wanderers
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zabbar St. Patrick at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sliema Wanderers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zabbar St. Patrick at home only, Sliema Wanderers away only.
Zabbar St. Patrick vs Sliema Wanderers head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Zabbar St. Patrick 0 · draws 1 · Sliema Wanderers 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 1-1 | Sliema Wanderers | Malta Premier League |
| 2026-01-16 | Sliema Wanderers | 1-0 | Zabbar St. Patrick | Malta Premier League |
| 2025-08-16 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 1-2 | Sliema Wanderers | Malta Premier League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk — team news & stats 2026-10-21
- Mosta v Valletta FC — match page 2026-10-21
- Birkirkara vs Floriana — team news & stats 2026-10-22
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Before and after this match
- Zabbar St. Patrick, previous: Balzan FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick prediction
- Sliema Wanderers, previous: Valletta FC – Sliema Wanderers, 2026-10-17
- Sliema Wanderers, next: Sliema Wanderers – Marsaxlokk, 2026-10-24