Dacia-Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM preview
In the Moldova Super Liga fixture between Dacia-Buiucani and Politehnica UTM, the 1X2 probabilities show Dacia-Buiucani at 41%, while Politehnica UTM stands at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Dacia-Buiucani's expected goals are 1.50 compared to Politehnica UTM's 1.30, suggesting a competitive match.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. Dacia-Buiucani has won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Politehnica UTM has only managed 1 win in the same period. Additionally, both teams to score has a probability of 58%, indicating that a defensive error could lead to goals for either side.
Dacia-Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM: model vs market
| Source | Dacia-Buiucani | Draw | Politehnica UTM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 28% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dacia-Buiucani and Politehnica UTM expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.80
- Attack rating (Dacia-Buiucani / Politehnica UTM)
- 0.86 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Dacia-Buiucani / Politehnica UTM)
- 0.90 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dacia-Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dacia-Buiucani goals. Columns: Politehnica UTM goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dacia-Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dacia-Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dacia-Buiucani | 41% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.64 | |
| Politehnica UTM | 32% | 3.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dacia-Buiucani or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Politehnica UTM) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dacia-Buiucani win by 2+ | 21% | 4.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dacia-Buiucani and Politehnica UTM recent form
Dacia-Buiucani
3W 1D 2L
Politehnica UTM
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dacia-Buiucani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 8
- They have won 7 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 16 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Politehnica UTM away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-5
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.89
- Goals against / match
- 2.22
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 9
- They have won 5 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 16 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dacia-Buiucani at home only, Politehnica UTM away only.
Dacia-Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Dacia-Buiucani 2 · draws 0 · Politehnica UTM 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Politehnica UTM | 2-1 | Dacia-Buiucani | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-07-18 | Dacia-Buiucani | 1-5 | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-11-01 | Politehnica UTM | 2-1 | Dacia-Buiucani | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-08-30 | Dacia-Buiucani | 4-1 | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-07-12 | Politehnica UTM | 2-3 | Dacia-Buiucani | Moldova Super Liga |
Other Matchday 18 fixtures
- Zimbru vs Sireți — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Petrocub vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2026-11-07
- Milsami Orhei v CSF Bălți — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Dacia-Buiucani, previous: Milsami Orhei – Dacia-Buiucani, 2026-11-01
- Politehnica UTM, previous: Sireți vs Politehnica UTM prediction