Sireți vs Politehnica UTM preview
In the Moldova Super Liga fixture, Sireți faces Politehnica UTM with probabilities of 29% for Sireți to win, 28% for a draw, and 43% for Politehnica UTM. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Politehnica UTM has a better expected goals figure at 1.47 compared to Sireți's 1.16, indicating a stronger attacking potential.
Both teams to score stands at 54%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 49%. However, Sireți's recent form shows 6 matches with 5 losses, which could impact their performance negatively. Politehnica UTM's form includes 2 wins in their last 5 matches, suggesting they might be more resilient in this matchup.
Sireți vs Politehnica UTM: model vs market
| Source | Sireți | Draw | Politehnica UTM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sireți and Politehnica UTM expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.62
- Attack rating (Sireți / Politehnica UTM)
- 0.69 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Sireți / Politehnica UTM)
- 1.00 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sireți vs Politehnica UTM score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sireți goals. Columns: Politehnica UTM goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sireți vs Politehnica UTM goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sireți vs Politehnica UTM
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sireți | 29% | 3.46 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 | |
| Politehnica UTM | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sireți or draw) | 57% | 1.74 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Politehnica UTM) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Politehnica UTM win by 2+ | 21% | 4.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Sireți and Politehnica UTM recent form
Sireți
1W 0D 5L
Politehnica UTM
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sireți at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 1 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 15 matches.
Politehnica UTM away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-4
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 8
- They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sireți at home only, Politehnica UTM away only.
Sireți vs Politehnica UTM head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Sireți 0 · draws 2 · Politehnica UTM 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Politehnica UTM | 0-0 | Sireți | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-07-11 | Sireți | 1-2 | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-04-24 | Politehnica UTM | 3-1 | Sireți | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-03-14 | Sireți | 1-1 | Politehnica UTM | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-10-29 | Politehnica UTM | 6-1 | Sireți | Cupa |
Other Matchday 17 fixtures
- CSF Bălți v Petrocub — match page 2026-10-31
- Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Milsami Orhei v Dacia-Buiucani — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Sireți, previous: Dacia-Buiucani – Sireți, 2026-10-24
- Politehnica UTM, previous: Politehnica UTM v Sheriff Tiraspol analysis