Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani preview
Milsami Orhei faces Dacia-Buiucani with a 38% probability of winning compared to 33% for Dacia-Buiucani. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% chance. Milsami Orhei's expected goals stand at 1.33, while Dacia-Buiucani has 1.24.
Both teams to score has a 54% likelihood, indicating a decent chance for goals from both sides. However, Milsami Orhei's recent form shows two draws and a loss in their last three matches, which could impact their performance. Dacia-Buiucani has had mixed results recently, winning three of their last six games. This inconsistency might affect the final outcome.
Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani: model vs market
| Source | Milsami Orhei | Draw | Dacia-Buiucani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Milsami Orhei and Dacia-Buiucani expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.57
- Attack rating (Milsami Orhei / Dacia-Buiucani)
- 0.92 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Milsami Orhei / Dacia-Buiucani)
- 0.94 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Milsami Orhei goals. Columns: Dacia-Buiucani goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Milsami Orhei | 38% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 | |
| Dacia-Buiucani | 33% | 3.05 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| No | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Milsami Orhei or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Dacia-Buiucani) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Milsami Orhei win by 2+ | 18% | 5.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Milsami Orhei and Dacia-Buiucani recent form
Milsami Orhei
2W 2D 2L
Dacia-Buiucani
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Milsami Orhei at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.12
- Goals against / match
- 1.12
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 8
- They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.
Dacia-Buiucani away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-3
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 8
- They have won 6 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Milsami Orhei at home only, Dacia-Buiucani away only.
Milsami Orhei vs Dacia-Buiucani head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Milsami Orhei 5 · draws 1 · Dacia-Buiucani 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dacia-Buiucani | 0-0 | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-07-12 | Milsami Orhei | 0-1 | Dacia-Buiucani | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-05-09 | Dacia-Buiucani | 1-2 | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2026-04-04 | Milsami Orhei | 1-0 | Dacia-Buiucani | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-11-08 | Dacia-Buiucani | 0-2 | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-09-13 | Milsami Orhei | 3-2 | Dacia-Buiucani | Moldova Super Liga |
| 2025-07-19 | Dacia-Buiucani | 1-2 | Milsami Orhei | Moldova Super Liga |
Other Matchday 17 fixtures
- CSF Bălți v Petrocub — match page 2026-10-31
- Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Sireți vs Politehnica UTM 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Milsami Orhei, previous: Petrocub vs Milsami Orhei: odds and pick
- Dacia-Buiucani, previous: Dacia-Buiucani – Sireți, 2026-10-24