CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat preview
In the upcoming match between CODM Meknès and UTS Rabat, the 1X2 probabilities suggest a 50% chance of UTS Rabat winning compared to just 22% for CODM Meknès. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with UTS Rabat expected to score 1.47 goals while CODM Meknès is projected to score only 0.89.
Both teams to score has a probability of 46%, indicating a reasonable chance that both teams will find the net. However, recent form shows CODM Meknès with 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, which could affect their performance. UTS Rabat, on the other hand, has 4 wins in their last 5 games, making them the stronger side heading into this fixture.
CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat: model vs market
| Source | CODM Meknès | Draw | UTS Rabat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 29% | 50% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 22% | 29% | 50% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CODM Meknès and UTS Rabat expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.35
- Attack rating (CODM Meknès / UTS Rabat)
- 1.18 / 1.13
- Defence rating (CODM Meknès / UTS Rabat)
- 1.22 / 0.66
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CODM Meknès goals. Columns: UTS Rabat goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CODM Meknès | 22% | 4.65 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.45 | |
| UTS Rabat | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.15 |
| No | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CODM Meknès or draw) | 50% | 1.98 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or UTS Rabat) | 78% | 1.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | UTS Rabat win by 2+ | 26% | 3.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CODM Meknès and UTS Rabat recent form
CODM Meknès
2W 2D 2L
UTS Rabat
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CODM Meknès at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
UTS Rabat away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: CODM Meknès at home only, UTS Rabat away only.
CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: CODM Meknès 0 · draws 3 · UTS Rabat 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | UTS Rabat | 2-0 | CODM Meknès | Botola Pro |
| 2026-01-31 | CODM Meknès | 1-1 | UTS Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2025-02-14 | CODM Meknès | 0-0 | UTS Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2024-10-19 | UTS Rabat | 0-0 | CODM Meknès | Botola Pro |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat — team news & stats 2026-10-12
- Renaissance Berkane v CR Khemis Zemamra — match page 2026-10-13
- FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca — team news & stats 2026-10-13
- Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès 2026-10-14
- Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech 2026-10-18
- Wydad AC v Amal Tiznit — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- CODM Meknès, previous: Wydad AC vs CODM Meknès: odds and pick
- UTS Rabat, previous: UTS Rabat vs Renaissance Berkane prediction