Wydad AC vs Amal Tiznit Prediction & Betting Tips 18/10/2026

Wydad AC vs Amal Tiznit preview

Wydad AC faces Amal Tiznit with 1X2 probabilities showing Wydad AC at 38%, a draw at 29%, and Amal Tiznit at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% chance according to our model. Both teams to score stands at 54%, indicating a reasonable chance for both sides to find the net.

Wydad AC's recent form shows D-W-L-L-L-L, while Amal Tiznit has L-W-L-D-D. With expected goals of 1.35 for Wydad AC and 1.25 for Amal Tiznit, the match could see fewer goals than anticipated. Factors like a strong defensive performance or missed scoring opportunities could lead to a different outcome than predicted.

Wydad AC vs Amal Tiznit: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Wydad AC	Draw	Amal Tiznit
Model	38%	29%	33%
Market	—	—	—
Published	38%	29%	33%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Wydad AC and Amal Tiznit expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.35Wydad AC

1.25Amal Tiznit

Total expected goals: 2.60
Attack rating (Wydad AC / Amal Tiznit): 0.85 / 0.99
Defence rating (Wydad AC / Amal Tiznit): 1.18 / 1.41

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Wydad AC vs Amal Tiznit score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.7% 8.0% 5.8% 2.4% 1.0% 1 8.8% 13.8% 7.8% 3.3% 1.3% 2 6.8% 8.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.9% 3 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 4+ 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2%

Rows: Wydad AC goals. Columns: Amal Tiznit goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Wydad AC vs Amal Tiznit goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%

Over 1.5 75%

Over 2.5 48%

Over 3.5 26%

Both teams to score: 54%
No goals (0–0): 9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Wydad AC vs Amal Tiznit

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Wydad AC	38%	2.64
	Draw	29%	3.46
	Amal Tiznit	33%	3.01
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	48%	2.08
	Under 2.5	52%	1.93
Both teams to score	Yes	54%	1.85
	No	46%	2.18
Double chance	1X (Wydad AC or draw)	67%	1.50
	12 (either side)	71%	1.41
	X2 (draw or Amal Tiznit)	62%	1.61
Handicap -1	Wydad AC win by 2+	18%	5.57
	Push (exactly one goal)	20%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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