FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca preview
In the upcoming match between FUS Rabat and Raja Casablanca, the 1X2 probabilities show Raja Casablanca at 40% and FUS Rabat at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 20% chance according to our model. FUS Rabat's recent form includes 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Raja Casablanca has 3 wins and 2 draws in the same period.
The expected goals for FUS Rabat is 0.54, while Raja Casablanca's is 1.09. With only a 23% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance for both teams to score, the match could be low-scoring. If FUS Rabat improves their form or Raja Casablanca underperforms, the outcome could differ from expectations.
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca: model vs market
| Source | FUS Rabat | Draw | Raja Casablanca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17% | 35% | 48% |
| Market | 30% | 33% | 37% |
| Published | 27% | 34% | 40% |
| Edge | -13% | +2% | +11% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Raja Casablanca below the model: +10.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.62, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
FUS Rabat and Raja Casablanca expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.63
- Attack rating (FUS Rabat / Raja Casablanca)
- 0.65 / 1.08
- Defence rating (FUS Rabat / Raja Casablanca)
- 0.95 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FUS Rabat goals. Columns: Raja Casablanca goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 29%
- No goals (0–0)
- 21%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FUS Rabat | 27% | 3.76 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.97 | |
| Raja Casablanca | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23% | 4.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 77% | 1.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29% | 3.46 |
| No | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FUS Rabat or draw) | 60% | 1.66 |
| 12 (either side) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| X2 (draw or Raja Casablanca) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | Raja Casablanca win by 2+ | 21% | 4.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FUS Rabat and Raja Casablanca recent form
FUS Rabat
1W 2D 3L
Raja Casablanca
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FUS Rabat at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
Raja Casablanca away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: FUS Rabat at home only, Raja Casablanca away only.
Expected lineups
FUS Rabat lineup
- 97 A. Lakred
- 3 A. Lemsen
- 8 A. Maher
- 5 A. Serrhat
- 14 A. Souane
- 28 Déo Gracias Maurile Gloire Bassinga
- 2 F. Karmoune
- 31 Fernando Data Chamboco
- 9 M. Lahtimi
Bench: C. Faidi, H. Ferdaoussi, A. El Harrak, M. Bakhkhach, I. Moutaraji, S. Tazi
Raja Casablanca lineup
- 6 A. Barkok
- 21 A. Bettaieb
- 17 A. El Amloud
- 13 B. Benoun
- 8 I. Zidani
- 3 K. Chemseddine
- 99 M. Oyewusi
- 2 Marian Huja
- 14 Y. Bakiz
Bench: Y. Dahmani, K. Kbiri, M. Al Makahasi, A. Khammas, Mohammed Abu Zurayq, B. Arrassi, A. Laftah, I. Khafi, M. El Idrissy
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FUS Rabat 2 · draws 1 · Raja Casablanca 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Raja Casablanca | 4-1 | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2025-09-13 | FUS Rabat | 0-2 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 2025-01-26 | FUS Rabat | 2-1 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 2024-10-02 | Raja Casablanca | 1-0 | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2024-03-10 | FUS Rabat | 0-1 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 2023-11-06 | Raja Casablanca | 2-0 | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2023-04-08 | FUS Rabat | 3-0 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 2022-10-29 | Raja Casablanca | 1-0 | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro |
| 2022-04-27 | FUS Rabat | 0-1 | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro |
| 2021-10-26 | Raja Casablanca | 1-1 | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat — team news & stats 2026-10-12
- Renaissance Berkane v CR Khemis Zemamra — match page 2026-10-13
- Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès 2026-10-14
- CODM Meknès v UTS Rabat — match page 2026-10-17
- Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech 2026-10-18
- Wydad AC v Amal Tiznit — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- FUS Rabat, previous: Moghreb Tetouan vs FUS Rabat prediction
- Raja Casablanca, previous: Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca: odds and pick
- Raja Casablanca, next: El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca prediction