Updated

Botola Pro · Matchday 4

Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra

· Stade Municipal de Berkane, Belkan

Full time2 – 2

Alin prediction was Renaissance Berkane to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 0

15% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Renaissance BerkaneDrawCR Khemis Zemamra

Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRenaissance BerkaneDrawCR Khemis Zemamra
Model59%27%14%
Market57%26%17%
Published58%26%16%
Edge+2%+1%-3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.69.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Renaissance Berkane and CR Khemis Zemamra expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.64Renaissance Berkane
0.69CR Khemis Zemamra
Total expected goals
2.32
Attack rating (Renaissance Berkane / CR Khemis Zemamra)
1.05 / 0.91
Defence rating (Renaissance Berkane / CR Khemis Zemamra)
0.70 / 1.37

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.9% 5.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 1 15.0% 12.1% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 2 13.1% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 3 7.2% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 4.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%

Rows: Renaissance Berkane goals. Columns: CR Khemis Zemamra goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%
Over 1.5 69%
Over 2.5 41%
Over 3.5 21%
Both teams to score
41%
No goals (0–0)
11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Renaissance Berkane58%1.73
Draw26%3.86
CR Khemis Zemamra16%6.17
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541%2.44
Under 2.559%1.69
Both teams to scoreYes41%2.44
No59%1.70
Double chance1X (Renaissance Berkane or draw)84%1.19
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or CR Khemis Zemamra)42%2.37
Handicap -1Renaissance Berkane win by 2+33%2.99
Push (exactly one goal)26%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Renaissance Berkane and CR Khemis Zemamra recent form

Renaissance Berkane 2W 3D 1L
CR Khemis Zemamra 0W 3D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

CR Khemis Zemamra away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
0 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: Renaissance Berkane at home only, CR Khemis Zemamra away only.

Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Renaissance Berkane 6 · draws 0 · CR Khemis Zemamra 4.

Renaissance BerkaneDrawsCR Khemis Zemamra
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-24Renaissance Berkane1-0CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
2026-02-18CR Khemis Zemamra1-2Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
2025-02-16Renaissance Berkane1-0CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
2024-10-18CR Khemis Zemamra1-3Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
2024-06-13Renaissance Berkane1-2CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
2024-01-07CR Khemis Zemamra2-1Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
2021-05-13Renaissance Berkane2-0CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
2020-12-05CR Khemis Zemamra0-2Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro
2020-09-30Renaissance Berkane1-2CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
2020-01-15CR Khemis Zemamra5-0Renaissance BerkaneBotola Pro

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Before and after this match