Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech preview
Widad Témara faces Kawkab Marrakech with 32% chances to win, compared to Kawkab's 35%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs 12% of the time according to our model. Both teams to score stands at 43%, while Over 2.5 goals has a lower probability of 34%.
Widad Témara's recent form shows two losses followed by a win, while Kawkab Marrakech has two wins, one loss, and three draws in their last six matches. The expected goals are close, with Widad Témara at 1.01 and Kawkab Marrakech at 1.05. A draw is also a possibility with a 33% chance, which could affect the outcome if both teams perform differently than expected.
Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech: model vs market
| Source | Widad Témara | Draw | Kawkab Marrakech |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 33% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 32% | 33% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Widad Témara and Kawkab Marrakech expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.05
- Attack rating (Widad Témara / Kawkab Marrakech)
- 0.93 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Widad Témara / Kawkab Marrakech)
- 0.97 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Widad Témara goals. Columns: Kawkab Marrakech goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Widad Témara | 32% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Kawkab Marrakech | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.35 |
| No | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Widad Témara or draw) | 65% | 1.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| X2 (draw or Kawkab Marrakech) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kawkab Marrakech win by 2+ | 14% | 7.11 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Widad Témara and Kawkab Marrakech recent form
Kawkab Marrakech
2W 3D 1L
Last 3 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Widad Témara at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
Kawkab Marrakech away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Widad Témara at home only, Kawkab Marrakech away only.
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat — team news & stats 2026-10-12
- Renaissance Berkane v CR Khemis Zemamra — match page 2026-10-13
- FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca — team news & stats 2026-10-13
- Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès 2026-10-14
- CODM Meknès v UTS Rabat — match page 2026-10-17
- Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Wydad AC v Amal Tiznit — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Widad Témara, previous: FAR Rabat – Widad Témara, 2026-10-08
- Kawkab Marrakech, previous: Kawkab Marrakech – Ittihad Tanger, 2026-10-10