Den Bosch vs FC OSS preview
Den Bosch faces FC OSS with a 48% chance of winning compared to 29% for FC OSS. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 7% probability. Den Bosch has an expected goals figure of 1.28, while FC OSS has a higher 1.79.
Both teams to score stands at 61%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 59%. Recent form shows Den Bosch with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while FC OSS has 3 wins in the same period. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome. A draw or a low-scoring match could challenge the predictions.
Den Bosch vs FC OSS: model vs market
| Source | Den Bosch | Draw | FC OSS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 25% | 48% |
| Market | 55% | 23% | 23% |
| Published | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| Edge | -28% | +3% | +26% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Den Bosch and FC OSS expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.07
- Attack rating (Den Bosch / FC OSS)
- 0.82 / 1.14
- Defence rating (Den Bosch / FC OSS)
- 1.08 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Den Bosch vs FC OSS score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Den Bosch goals. Columns: FC OSS goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Den Bosch vs FC OSS goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Den Bosch vs FC OSS
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Den Bosch | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 | |
| FC OSS | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| No | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Den Bosch or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or FC OSS) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | Den Bosch win by 2+ | 12% | 8.67 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Den Bosch and FC OSS recent form
Den Bosch
2W 1D 3L
FC OSS
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Den Bosch at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
FC OSS away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Den Bosch at home only, FC OSS away only.
Den Bosch vs FC OSS head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Den Bosch 1 · draws 0 · FC OSS 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | FC OSS | 4-2 | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| 2025-08-24 | Den Bosch | 5-2 | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- VVV Venlo v Jong AZ — match page 2026-10-16
- FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse 2026-10-16
- Helmond Sport v NAC Breda — match page 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Den Bosch, previous: Jong AZ – Den Bosch, 2026-10-09
- FC OSS, previous: FC OSS vs Helmond Sport: odds and pick