FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse preview
In the fixture between FC Eindhoven and Vitesse, the 1X2 probabilities show Vitesse at 48%, while FC Eindhoven sits at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% chance. The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 66%.
FC Eindhoven's recent form shows 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Vitesse has 2 wins and 3 losses as well. The expected goals are 1.47 for FC Eindhoven compared to 1.83 for Vitesse. A surprise could come from FC Eindhoven improving their form or Vitesse underperforming, which might affect the predicted outcomes.
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse: model vs market
| Source | FC Eindhoven | Draw | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| Market | 27% | 24% | 48% |
| Published | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Edge | +3% | 0% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.47.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC Eindhoven and Vitesse expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.30
- Attack rating (FC Eindhoven / Vitesse)
- 0.87 / 0.97
- Defence rating (FC Eindhoven / Vitesse)
- 1.29 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Eindhoven goals. Columns: Vitesse goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Eindhoven | 28% | 3.58 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Vitesse | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| No | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Eindhoven or draw) | 52% | 1.91 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Vitesse) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vitesse win by 2+ | 25% | 3.94 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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FC Eindhoven and Vitesse recent form
FC Eindhoven
2W 2D 2L
Vitesse
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Eindhoven at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Vitesse away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Eindhoven at home only, Vitesse away only.
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: FC Eindhoven 0 · draws 1 · Vitesse 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Vitesse | 1-1 | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| 2025-10-17 | FC Eindhoven | 0-4 | Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- VVV Venlo v Jong AZ — match page 2026-10-16
- Den Bosch vs FC OSS — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Helmond Sport v NAC Breda — match page 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- FC Eindhoven, previous: Almere City FC v FC Eindhoven analysis
- Vitesse, previous: FC Volendam vs Vitesse prediction