FC Volendam vs Vitesse preview
FC Volendam hosts Vitesse with a 40% chance of winning according to the model 1X2 probabilities. The expected goals are close, with FC Volendam at 1.76 and Vitesse at 1.70, which suggests a competitive match. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% probability.
Both teams to score is at 69%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 67%. However, recent form shows FC Volendam's inconsistency with three losses in their last six matches, while Vitesse has won two of their last three. This could affect the outcome, making the match unpredictable despite the statistical leanings.
FC Volendam vs Vitesse: model vs market
| Source | FC Volendam | Draw | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Published | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Edge | -1% | -1% | +1% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.40, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC Volendam vs Vitesse odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Volendam, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam | 2.21 | 2.30 | +0.09 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.70 | +0.00 |
| Vitesse | 2.88 | 2.62 | -0.26 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Volendam and Vitesse expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.46
- Attack rating (FC Volendam / Vitesse)
- 1.11 / 1.07
- Defence rating (FC Volendam / Vitesse)
- 1.08 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Volendam vs Vitesse score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Volendam goals. Columns: Vitesse goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Volendam vs Vitesse goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Volendam vs Vitesse
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Volendam | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | |
| Vitesse | 35% | 2.82 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.46 |
| No | 31% | 3.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Volendam or draw) | 65% | 1.55 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Vitesse) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Volendam win by 2+ | 21% | 4.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Volendam and Vitesse recent form
FC Volendam
3W 0D 3L
Vitesse
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Volendam at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Vitesse away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Volendam at home only, Vitesse away only.
FC Volendam vs Vitesse head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: FC Volendam 3 · draws 2 · Vitesse 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-17 | FC Volendam | 4-0 | Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| 2024-10-04 | Vitesse | 1-2 | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| 2024-02-18 | Vitesse | 1-1 | FC Volendam | Eredivisie |
| 2023-08-11 | FC Volendam | 1-2 | Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| 2023-02-18 | FC Volendam | 2-0 | Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| 2022-09-17 | Vitesse | 1-1 | FC Volendam | Eredivisie |
| 2020-07-26 | FC Volendam | 0-5 | Vitesse | Friendlies Clubs |
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