RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte Prediction & Betting Tips 29/10/2026

RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte preview

In the KNVB Beker fixture, RKAV Volendam faces ROHDA Raalte with a 1X2 probability of 27% for RKAV Volendam, 17% for a draw, and 56% for ROHDA Raalte. The most likely scoreline from our model is 2-3, which occurs with a 6% chance.

Both teams to score stands at 87%, while Over 2.5 goals is projected at 91%. RKAV Volendam has an expected goals figure of 2.30, while ROHDA Raalte sits at 3.20. The recent form shows RKAV Volendam with a draw and a loss, while ROHDA Raalte has won three of their last four matches. The confidence grade for this match is C.

RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	RKAV Volendam	Draw	ROHDA Raalte
Model	27%	17%	56%
Market	—	—	—
Published	27%	17%	56%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.20 vs 2.30.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 4 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

RKAV Volendam and ROHDA Raalte expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.30RKAV Volendam

3.20ROHDA Raalte

Total expected goals: 5.50
Attack rating (RKAV Volendam / ROHDA Raalte): 1.07 / 1.25
Defence rating (RKAV Volendam / ROHDA Raalte): 1.27 / 1.10

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 0.7% 1.0% 2.1% 2.2% 4.0% 1 0.6% 3.3% 4.8% 5.1% 9.2% 2 1.1% 3.5% 5.5% 5.9% 10.5% 3 0.8% 2.7% 4.2% 4.5% 8.1% 4+ 0.8% 2.6% 4.2% 4.5% 8.0%

Rows: RKAV Volendam goals. Columns: ROHDA Raalte goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%

Over 1.5 98%

Over 2.5 91%

Over 3.5 80%

Both teams to score: 87%
No goals (0–0): 1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for RKAV Volendam vs ROHDA Raalte

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	RKAV Volendam	27%	3.72
	Draw	17%	5.91
	ROHDA Raalte	56%	1.78
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	91%	1.10
	Under 2.5	9%	11.32
Both teams to score	Yes	87%	1.15
	No	13%	7.47
Double chance	1X (RKAV Volendam or draw)	44%	2.28
	12 (either side)	83%	1.20
	X2 (draw or ROHDA Raalte)	73%	1.37
Handicap -1	ROHDA Raalte win by 2+	39%	2.56
	Push (exactly one goal)	17%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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