De Treffers vs Heracles preview
In the KNVB Beker match between De Treffers and Heracles, the 1X2 probabilities show Heracles at 48%, while De Treffers is at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score is at 70%, and Over 2.5 goals is also at 70%, indicating a high-scoring game.
De Treffers has an expected goals figure of 1.59, while Heracles stands at 2.04. Recent form favors Heracles, who has won 4 of their last 6 matches, compared to De Treffers, who has won 3 of their last 6. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
De Treffers vs Heracles: model vs market
| Source | De Treffers | Draw | Heracles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 21% | 54% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 24% | 21% | 54% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 1.53.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
De Treffers and Heracles expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.83
- Attack rating (De Treffers / Heracles)
- 1.12 / 1.30
- Defence rating (De Treffers / Heracles)
- 0.88 / 0.69
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
De Treffers vs Heracles score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: De Treffers goals. Columns: Heracles goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
De Treffers vs Heracles goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for De Treffers vs Heracles
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | De Treffers | 24% | 4.11 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.69 | |
| Heracles | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.80 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.40 |
| No | 29% | 3.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (De Treffers or draw) | 46% | 2.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Heracles) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Handicap -1 | Heracles win by 2+ | 34% | 2.91 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
De Treffers and Heracles recent form
De Treffers
3W 0D 1L
Heracles
4W 1D 1L
Last 4 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Kozakken Boys vs Utrecht — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- RKAV Volendam v ROHDA Raalte — match page 2026-10-29
- GVVV Veenendaal vs Noordwijk 2026-10-29
- Hoek v Sparta Nijkerk — match page 2026-10-29
- ACV v AFC Amsterdam — match page 2026-10-29
- Purmersteijn vs Gemert — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Groningen vs Emmen — team news & stats 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Heracles, previous: NAC Breda – Heracles, 2026-10-23