Updated

Nigeria Premier Football League · Matchday 9

Enyimba vs Warri Wolves

· Enyimba International Stadium, Aba

Alin prediction Enyimba to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
EnyimbaDrawWarri Wolves

Enyimba vs Warri Wolves preview

Enyimba faces Warri Wolves with a 67% probability of winning, while Warri Wolves sits at just 12%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Enyimba's expected goals of 2.09 compared to Warri Wolves' 0.76. Enyimba's recent form shows 2 losses in their last 6 matches, while Warri Wolves has won 4 out of their last 6.

However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. Both teams to score stands at 48%, suggesting a possibility that Warri Wolves could find the net, despite their lower expected goals. If Enyimba's defense falters or if Warri Wolves continues their recent winning form, the match outcome could differ from the predictions.

Enyimba vs Warri Wolves: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceEnyimbaDrawWarri Wolves
Model67%21%12%
Market———
Published67%21%12%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 0.76.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Enyimba and Warri Wolves expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.09Enyimba
0.76Warri Wolves
Total expected goals
2.86
Attack rating (Enyimba / Warri Wolves)
1.42 / 0.90
Defence rating (Enyimba / Warri Wolves)
1.39 / 0.99

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Enyimba vs Warri Wolves score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 1 11.1% 10.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 2 12.6% 9.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 3 8.8% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 4+ 7.4% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%

Rows: Enyimba goals. Columns: Warri Wolves goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Enyimba vs Warri Wolves goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 32%
Both teams to score
48%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Enyimba vs Warri Wolves

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Enyimba67%1.49
Draw21%4.72
Warri Wolves12%8.63
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554%1.84
Under 2.546%2.19
Both teams to scoreYes48%2.09
No52%1.91
Double chance1X (Enyimba or draw)88%1.13
12 (either side)79%1.27
X2 (draw or Warri Wolves)33%3.05
Handicap -1Enyimba win by 2+44%2.29
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Enyimba and Warri Wolves recent form

Enyimba 2W 1D 3L
Warri Wolves 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Enyimba at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Warri Wolves away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.25
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Enyimba at home only, Warri Wolves away only.

Enyimba vs Warri Wolves head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Enyimba 0 · draws 0 · Warri Wolves 2.

EnyimbaDrawsWarri Wolves
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-08Warri Wolves2-1EnyimbaNigeria Premier Football League
2025-10-19Enyimba1-2Warri WolvesNigeria Premier Football League

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Enyimba to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Enyimba