Katsina United vs Enyimba Prediction & Betting Tips 11/10/2026

Katsina United vs Enyimba: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Katsina United	Draw	Enyimba
Model	52%	27%	21%
Market	—	—	—
Published	52%	27%	21%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.98.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Katsina United and Enyimba expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.67Katsina United

0.98Enyimba

Total expected goals: 2.65
Attack rating (Katsina United / Enyimba): 0.97 / 1.35
Defence rating (Katsina United / Enyimba): 1.19 / 1.16

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Katsina United vs Enyimba score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.2% 5.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 1 10.6% 12.7% 5.7% 1.9% 0.6% 2 9.8% 9.7% 4.7% 1.6% 0.5% 3 5.5% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 4+ 3.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Katsina United goals. Columns: Enyimba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Katsina United vs Enyimba goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%

Over 1.5 75%

Over 2.5 49%

Over 3.5 28%

Both teams to score: 52%
No goals (0–0): 8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Katsina United vs Enyimba

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Katsina United	52%	1.91
	Draw	27%	3.76
	Enyimba	21%	4.77
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	49%	2.02
	Under 2.5	51%	1.98
Both teams to score	Yes	52%	1.93
	No	48%	2.08
Double chance	1X (Katsina United or draw)	79%	1.27
	12 (either side)	73%	1.36
	X2 (draw or Enyimba)	48%	2.10
Handicap -1	Katsina United win by 2+	29%	3.44
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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