Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars: model vs market
| Source | Kun Khalifat FC | Draw | Shooting Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 24% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.88.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kun Khalifat FC and Shooting Stars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.73
- Attack rating (Kun Khalifat FC / Shooting Stars)
- 1.09 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Kun Khalifat FC / Shooting Stars)
- 1.45 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kun Khalifat FC goals. Columns: Shooting Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kun Khalifat FC | 59% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Shooting Stars | 16% | 6.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| No | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kun Khalifat FC or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Shooting Stars) | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kun Khalifat FC win by 2+ | 35% | 2.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kun Khalifat FC and Shooting Stars recent form
Kun Khalifat FC
1W 1D 4L
Shooting Stars
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kun Khalifat FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
Shooting Stars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kun Khalifat FC at home only, Shooting Stars away only.
Kun Khalifat FC vs Shooting Stars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Kun Khalifat FC 1 · draws 0 · Shooting Stars 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Kun Khalifat FC | 2-0 | Shooting Stars | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-09-21 | Shooting Stars | 2-1 | Kun Khalifat FC | Nigeria Premier Football League |
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