Plateau United vs Kano Pillars: model vs market
| Source | Plateau United | Draw | Kano Pillars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Plateau United and Kano Pillars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.55
- Attack rating (Plateau United / Kano Pillars)
- 1.11 / 1.30
- Defence rating (Plateau United / Kano Pillars)
- 1.00 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Plateau United vs Kano Pillars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Plateau United goals. Columns: Kano Pillars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Plateau United vs Kano Pillars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Plateau United vs Kano Pillars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plateau United | 59% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Kano Pillars | 16% | 6.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.14 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.15 |
| No | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Plateau United or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Kano Pillars) | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Plateau United win by 2+ | 34% | 2.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Plateau United and Kano Pillars recent form
Plateau United
3W 2D 1L
Kano Pillars
2W 4D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Plateau United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
Kano Pillars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Plateau United at home only, Kano Pillars away only.
Plateau United vs Kano Pillars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Plateau United 1 · draws 0 · Kano Pillars 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Plateau United | 1-0 | Kano Pillars | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-12-21 | Kano Pillars | 2-1 | Plateau United | Nigeria Premier Football League |
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