Kano Pillars vs Katsina United preview
Kano Pillars face Katsina United with a 61% probability of winning, while Katsina United has just a 16% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with expected goals of 2.00 for Kano Pillars and 0.96 for Katsina United.
However, both teams to score sits at 54%, indicating a possibility that Katsina United could find the net. Recent form shows Kano Pillars with four draws and a loss in their last five matches, while Katsina United has two wins in their last three. This could affect the outcome, making it less predictable despite the strong figures for Kano Pillars.
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United: model vs market
| Source | Kano Pillars | Draw | Katsina United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 23% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 61% | 23% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.96.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kano Pillars and Katsina United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.96
- Attack rating (Kano Pillars / Katsina United)
- 1.06 / 1.24
- Defence rating (Kano Pillars / Katsina United)
- 1.27 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kano Pillars goals. Columns: Katsina United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kano Pillars vs Katsina United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kano Pillars | 61% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.34 | |
| Katsina United | 16% | 6.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| No | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kano Pillars or draw) | 84% | 1.20 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Katsina United) | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kano Pillars win by 2+ | 38% | 2.66 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kano Pillars and Katsina United recent form
Kano Pillars
1W 4D 1L
Katsina United
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kano Pillars at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Katsina United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kano Pillars at home only, Katsina United away only.
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Kano Pillars 1 · draws 0 · Katsina United 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | Kano Pillars | 1-0 | Katsina United | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-09-07 | Katsina United | 1-0 | Kano Pillars | Nigeria Premier Football League |
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Before and after this match
- Kano Pillars, previous: Plateau United v Kano Pillars analysis
- Katsina United, previous: Katsina United vs Enyimba: odds and pick