Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United preview
Kano Pillars face Nasarawa United with a 50% probability of winning, while Nasarawa United sits at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 16% chance of occurring. Kano Pillars have an expected goals figure of 1.34, compared to Nasarawa United's 0.72, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the recent form shows Kano Pillars with a mixed record of W-L-D-D-D-D, while Nasarawa United has been more consistent with W-W-D-W-L-D. This could impact the match, making it possible for Nasarawa United to perform better than expected. The chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 34%, and both teams to score is at 39%.
Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United: model vs market
| Source | Kano Pillars | Draw | Nasarawa United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 36% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 36% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.04 vs 0.67.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kano Pillars and Nasarawa United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.71
- Attack rating (Kano Pillars / Nasarawa United)
- 0.90 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Kano Pillars / Nasarawa United)
- 1.01 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kano Pillars goals. Columns: Nasarawa United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 33%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kano Pillars | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 36% | 2.81 | |
| Nasarawa United | 22% | 4.53 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25% | 4.07 |
| Under 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33% | 3.04 |
| No | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kano Pillars or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 64% | 1.55 | |
| X2 (draw or Nasarawa United) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kano Pillars win by 2+ | 17% | 5.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kano Pillars and Nasarawa United recent form
Kano Pillars
1W 4D 1L
Nasarawa United
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kano Pillars at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Nasarawa United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kano Pillars at home only, Nasarawa United away only.
Kano Pillars vs Nasarawa United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Kano Pillars 2 · draws 0 · Nasarawa United 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | Nasarawa United | 0-1 | Kano Pillars | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-12-28 | Kano Pillars | 3-0 | Nasarawa United | Nigeria Premier Football League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Doma United v Ikorodu City — match page 2026-10-31
- Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees 2026-11-01
- Katsina United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance 2026-11-01
- Plateau United vs Warri Wolves — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Rivers United vs Enugu Rangers 2026-11-01
- Shooting Stars v Abia Warriors — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Kano Pillars, previous: Warri Wolves – Kano Pillars, 2026-10-25
- Nasarawa United, previous: Nasarawa United vs Enyimba: odds and pick