Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees preview
In the Nigeria Premier Football League fixture between Inter Lagos and Ranchers Bees, the 1X2 probabilities show Inter Lagos at 45%, while Ranchers Bees sit at 23%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, which occurs with a 14% chance.
Inter Lagos has an expected goals figure of 1.27 compared to Ranchers Bees' 0.83. However, the match could see different outcomes if both teams manage to score, as our model indicates a 42% chance for both teams to score and a 35% chance for Over 2.5 goals. The recent form for both teams shows mixed results, adding uncertainty to the match.
Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees: model vs market
| Source | Inter Lagos | Draw | Ranchers Bees |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 33% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 33% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.80.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Inter Lagos and Ranchers Bees expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.95
- Attack rating (Inter Lagos / Ranchers Bees)
- 0.63 / 0.94
- Defence rating (Inter Lagos / Ranchers Bees)
- 1.36 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inter Lagos goals. Columns: Ranchers Bees goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inter Lagos vs Ranchers Bees
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Lagos | 43% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Ranchers Bees | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.57 |
| No | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inter Lagos or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| X2 (draw or Ranchers Bees) | 57% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Lagos win by 2+ | 19% | 5.35 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Inter Lagos and Ranchers Bees recent form
Inter Lagos
0W 2D 4L
Ranchers Bees
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inter Lagos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Ranchers Bees away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Inter Lagos at home only, Ranchers Bees away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Enyimba vs Kun Khalifat FC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Kano Pillars v Nasarawa United — match page 2026-11-01
- Katsina United vs Sporting Lagos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance 2026-11-01
- Plateau United vs Warri Wolves — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Rivers United vs Enugu Rangers 2026-11-01
- Shooting Stars v Abia Warriors — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Inter Lagos, previous: Kun Khalifat FC v Inter Lagos analysis
- Ranchers Bees, previous: Shooting Stars vs Ranchers Bees: odds and pick
- Ranchers Bees, next: Ranchers Bees vs Doma United prediction